Northwestern vs. UNLV - 9/14/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UNLV Rebels at Northwestern Wildcats
Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 2:30 PM (Ryan Field)
The Line: Northwestern Wildcats -20 -- Over/Under:
The UNLV Rebels and Northwestern Wildcats meet Saturday in college football action at Ryan Field.
The UNLV Rebels look to get a game above a .500 record with their first road victory. The UNLV Rebels have lost five of their last six road games. Armani Rogers is completing 47.5 percent of his passes for 186 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Rogers has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last six games. Randal Grimes and Steve Jenkins have combined for 159 receiving yards and one touchdown while Mekhi Stevenson has four receptions. The UNLV Rebels ground game is averaging 259.5 yards per contest, and Charles Williams leads the way with 311 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, UNLV is allowing 33 points and 419.5 yards per game. Evan Austrie leads the UNLV Rebels with 16 tackles, Bryce Jackson has two sacks and Jericho Flowers has three pass deflections.
The Northwestern Wildcats have had an extra week to prepare and are coming off an opening loss to Stanford. The Northwestern Wildcats have split their last six home games. TJ Green is completing 60 percent of his passes for 62 yards, zero touchdowns and zero interceptions. Green has 47 career pass attempts under his belt. Bennett Skowronek and Jesse Brown have combined for 76 receiving yards on six catches while John Moten IV has one reception. The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 93 yards per contest, and Isaiah Bowser leads the way with 54 yards on 10 carries. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 17 points and 365 yards per game. Travis Whillock leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 10 tackles, Eku Leota has 0.5 sacks and Greg Newsome II has two pass deflections.
The Rebels are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big Ten. The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. The over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games following a bye week. The over is 11-4 in Rebels last 15 non-conference games.
The Northwestern Wildcats have failed to cover 11 of their last 16 games as a double-digit favorite. The UNLV Rebels did not look good against Arkansas State last week and had serious trouble slowing down the running game. That's good news when going up against a big and physical Northwestern side that's also had an extra week to prepare for this contest. It's the home opener for Northwestern, a team that should be motivated for a bounce back game after an embracing effort against Stanford. I'll eat the chalk with the Northwestern Wildcats, as UNLV doesn't have the physicality to slowdown Northwestern.