Wisconsin Badgers (5-2) at Northwestern Wildcats (4-3)
|Date & Time||Saturday October 27, 2018, 12:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Northwestern Wildcats +6 -- Over/Under:
The Wisconsin Badgers and Northwestern Wildcats meet Saturday in college football action at Ryan Field.
The Wisconsin Badgers look for their second road win of the season to become bowl eligible for a 17th straight season. The Wisconsin Badgers have won 10 of their last 11 road games. Alex Hornibrook is completing 59.6 percent of his passes for 1,251 yards, 11 touchdowns and six interceptions. Hornibrook has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 13 games. A.J. Taylor and Jake Ferguson have combined for 678 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Danny Davis III has 13 receptions. The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 282.1 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 1,109 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing 20 points and 356.1 yards per game. Ryan Connelly leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 43 tackles, T.J. Edwards has three sacks and Faion Hicks has one interception.
The Northwestern Wildcats look to build on their three-game winning streak while getting their second win of the season over a ranked team. The Northwestern Wildcats have won five of their last eight home games. Clayton Thorson is completing 61.1 percent of his passes for 1,905 yards, nine touchdowns and seven interceptions. Thorson has zero touchdown passes in four of his last seven games. Flynn Nagel and Bennett Skowronek have combined for 1,030 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Cameron Green has 31 receptions. The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 78.1 yards per contest, and Jeremy Larkin leads the way with 346 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 24.6 points and 373 yards per game. Blake Gallagher leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 68 tackles, Joe Gaziano has 4.5 sacks and JR Pace has three interceptions.
The Badgers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on grass and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Wildcats are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October, 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 conference games and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Badgers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Northwestern, the home team is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The under is 39-12-1 in Wildcats last 52 home games and the over is 4-0 in Badgers last 4 games overall.
The Wisconsin Badgers have been consistent this season despite their two hiccups, and all five of their victories have come by double digits. The Northwestern Wildcats have won three straight, but none of their games seem to come easy and they've actually played better football on the road this season than at home. The Wisconsin Badgers have failed to cover four of their last five games when a favorite of at least five points. The Northwestern Wildcats have covered six of their last eight games when an underdog of at least five points. Getting points with a well coached Northwestern team is always tough to pass up, but I don't trust that offense at all. If Wisconsin gets the ground game going and puts up points, I'm not sure Northwestern will be able to respond. Wisconsin has topped 40 points in three of its last six games, while Northwestern has scored 40 or more points just twice since December of 2016. I have to eat the road chalk.