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Notre Dame vs. New Mexico - 9/14/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
New Mexico Lobos at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Date & Time Saturday September 14, 2019, 2:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Notre Dame Stadium
Notre Dame, Indiana
The Line
The Line: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -37 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
NBC
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Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The New Mexico Lobos and Notre Dame Fighting Irish meet Saturday in college football action at Notre Dame Stadium.

The New Mexico Lobos have had an extra week to prepare and are coming off a win over Sam Houston State. The New Mexico Lobos have lost four of their last six road games. Brandt Hughes is completing 41.4 percent of his passes for 218 yards, zero touchdowns and zero interceptions. Hughes and Sheriron Jones have combined for 340 passing yards this season. Anu Somoye and Ahmari Davis have combined for 120 receiving yards on five catches while Jordan Kress has one reception. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 145 yards per contest, and Davis leads the way with 107 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 31 points and 558 yards per game. Johnny Hernandez leads the New Mexico Lobos with 11 tackles, Jacobi Hearn has one sack and Adebayo Soremekun has two quarterback hurries.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have had 12 days off and are coming off their comfortable road win over Louisville. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish haven’t lost a home game since September of 2017. Ian Book is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 193 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions. Book has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 10 games. Chase Claypool and Tommy Tremble have combined for 143 receiving yards and one touchdown while Jafar Armstrong has one reception. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish ground game is averaging 230 yards per contest, and Tony Jones Jr. leads the way with 110 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Notre Dame is allowing 17 points and 383 yards per game. Alohi Gilman leads the Notre Dame Fighting Irish with 10 tackles, Julian Okwara has one sack and Kyle Hamilton has two pass deflections.

The Lobos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a bye week and 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Fighting Irish last 4 games overall. The over is 9-4 in Lobos last 13 games overall.

The New Mexico Lobos have failed to cover six of their last eight games as double-digit underdogs. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. The New Mexico Lobos haven't had much recent success covering numbers, but they do control the clock well due to their commitment to the running game and have had extra time to prepare for this contest. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish haven't had much success covering big numbers under coach Brian Kelly, and you have to question how motivated they'll be to beat up on the Lobos with the Georgia Bulldogs on deck. Notre Dame should be focused on getting the win and getting out of there. Give me the truckload of points.

Pick:
New Mexico Lobos +37

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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