Texas Longhorns (9-3) at Oklahoma Sooners (11-1)
|Date & Time||Saturday December 1, 2018, 12:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: Oklahoma Sooners -6 -- Over/Under: 78
The 14th ranked Texas Longhorns & 6th ranked Oklahoma Sooners will face off at AT&T Stadium in the Big-12 Championship this Saturday afternoon.
The 14th ranked Texas Longhorns (9-3) finished their regular season on a three game winning steak and was able to reach the Big-12 Championship after finishing conference play with a 7-2 record. Texas, who picked up a huge win the week before agianst Iowa State, was able to clinch the 2nd best record in the Big-12 with a 24-17 victory over Kansas last Saturday. Texas took a 21-0 lead over the Jayhawks with 1:02 left in the 3rd quarter however, had to recover an onside kick with 1:37 left to go to seal the victory after Kansas made it a one possession game late. Texas outgained Kansas by a 297-296 margin and committed 2 turnovers in the win. Leading the way for the Longhorns was QB Sam Ehlinger who completed 16 of 28 passes for 154 yards, 2 TD, & 2 INT while also adding a rushing TD.
On the season, Texas is averaging 31.7 ppg on 413.8 total yards per game (257.4 passing yds/g; 156.4 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Texas has been led by QB Sam Ehlinger who has completed 64.4% of his passes for 23 TD & 4 INT while averaging 231.5 passing yds/g. Ehlinger has also been a threat in the red-zone with his legs as he has 11 rushing TD’s on the season. The leading receivers for the Longhorns have been Lil’Jordan Humphrey (6.0 rec/g; 88.2 yds/g; 8 TD), Collin Johnson (5.2 rec/g; 69.8 yds/g; 6 TD), and Devin Duvernay (3.0 rec/g; 39.0 yds/g; 4 TD). Leading the way for the Longhorns backfield has been the duo of Keaontay Ingram (11.7 att/g; 64.5 yds/g; 3 TD) & Tre Watson (12.8 att/g; 54.7 yds/g; 3 TD).
Defensively, Texas is allowing their opponents to average 25.2 ppg on 392.3 total yards per game (255.8 passing yds/g; 136.5 rushing yds/g).
The 6th seed Oklahoma Sooners (11-1) won their 6th straight game and clinched the best record in the Big-12 this season (8-1) after defeating the 13th ranked West Virginia Mountaineers, 59-56, this past Saturday. In a game that featured 1,372 of total offense, the Sooners were able to outlast the Mountaineers after taking a 59-49 lead on a 48-yd fumble return for a TD. Oklahoma was outgained by West Virginia by a 704-668 margin however, had two defensive TD’s on the two turnovers they were able to force West Virginia to make. Leading the way for the Sooners was QB Kyle Murray who completed 20 of 27 passes for 364 yards, 3 TD, & 1 INT while also adding 114 yards & 1 TD on the ground.
On the season, Oklahoma is averaging 50.3 ppg on 583.8 total yards per game (319.4 passing yds/g; 264.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Oklahoma has been led by Heisman hopeful, Kyle Murray, who has completed 70.6% of his passes for 37 TD & 7 INT while averaging 306.2 passing yds/g. Murray has also been dangerous on the ground as he comes into this matchup with 11 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 71.1 rushing yds/g. The top receiving targets for the Sooners have been Marquise Brown (5.8 rec/g; 105.3 yds/g; 10 TD), CeeDee Lamb (4.3 rec/g; 73.5 yds/g; 9 TD), and Lee Morris (1.6 rec/g; 35.5 yds/g; 8 TD). Oklahoma loss their starting RB in Rodney Anderson early in the season, however, the backfield duo of Kennedy Brooks (10.3 att/g; 99.3 yds/g; 12 TD) & Trey Sermon (11.4 att/g; 71.9 yds/g; 11 TD) have done an outstanding job for the sooners.
Defensively, Oklahoma is allowing their opponents to average 32.8 ppg on 449.0 total yards per game (286.6 passing yds/g; 162.4 rushing yds/g).
The Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Sooners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
This is the Big-12 Championship matchup were all looking forward as we’ll get to see round two of the Red River Showdown this Saturday. Oklahoma has one of the most explosive offenses in the country, however, for as good as their offense is, their defense has been absolutely awful and it’s pretty amazing the Sooners have won their last 4 games as in that span they’ve allowed their opponents to average 47.3 ppg. Texas is a bit of a more balanced team, however, they do have some impactful offensive players in QB Sam Ehlinger and his main targets in Humphrey & Johnson. Texas was able to defeat Oklahoma on the road by a 48-45 margin earlier this season and as I think the Longhorns will have their way on the offensive end against the Sooners defense, I think at worst, they cover with the points.