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Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State - 11/29/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-1) at Mississippi Rebels (8-3)
Date & Time Saturday November 29, 2014, 3:30 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Mississippi Rebels +1 -- Over/Under:
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CFB | Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-1) at Mississippi Rebels (8-3)

The Ole Miss Rebels and the Mississippi State Bulldogs face off on Saturday in their SEC football rivalry game called the Egg Bowl.

The Ole Miss Rebels started their season with seven wins but since then they have lost three of their last four games. Ole Miss is averaging 30.4 points and 435.2 yards per game and are led by QB Bo Wallace who has completed 62.8 percent of his passes with 22 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Jaylen Walton has 435 rushing yards that is good enough to lead Mississippi and Vince Sanders has 37 catches and six touchdowns which leads the active Ole Miss receivers with Laquon Treadwell gone for the season. The Ole Miss defense allows 13.5 points and 309.9 yards per game with 28 takeaways and 22 sacks but they look like a battered bunch recently. Mike Hilton has 60 tackles, Cody Prewitt has 58 tackles, and Tony Conner and Serderius Bryant each have 57 tackles. Ole Miss is looking for a breath of life but they won’t need any motivation in this one.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs appear to control their own destiny and if they can win out they have a good chance of being part of the college football playoff. The Mississippi State offense is averaging 39 points and 511.7 yards per game and they are led by QB Dak Prescott who has completed 61.4 percent of his passes with 23 touchdowns and 10 interceptions and he has rushed for 891 yards and 12 touchdowns. Josh Robinson leads MSU with 1,084 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns and he has 26 receptions while De’Runnya Wilson has 30 receptions and six touchdowns and Jameon Lewis has 23 receptions after missing several games. The Mississippi State defense allows 18.4 points ad 400.7 yards per game with 21 takeaways and 35 sacks. Bernardrick McKinney has 60 tackles and Beniquez Brown and Christian Holmes each have 55 tackles. Mississippi State has never played in a game this big in school history.

Ole Miss is 1-4 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the spread, 8-3 against the spread following a loss by 20 or more points, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four games. Mississippi State is 5-1 against the spread in their last six road games, 5-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 12-4 against the spread in their last 16 games. The home team has covered the point spread in five of the last six meetings of these two.

If this were a month ago Ole Miss would have been my pick but the hard hitting has taken its toll on the defense and the offense simply isn’t good enough without Treadewell so my pick here is Mississippi State. 

Mississippi State Bulldogs -1

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