Oregon State vs. Stanford - 9/28/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oregon State vs. Stanford
Saturday, September 28, 2019 at 6:01 PM (Reser Stadium)
The Line: Oregon State +3 -- Over/Under:
TV: Pac-12 Network
The Stanford Cardinal and Oregon State Beavers meet Saturday in college football action at Reser Stadium.
The Stanford Cardinal need a victory here to snap a three-game losing streak. The Stanford Cardinal have split their last eight road games. K.J. Costello is completing 56.4 percent of his passes for 471 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Davis Mills and Costello have combined for three touchdowns and three interceptions this season. Connor Wedington and Michael Wilson have combined for 362 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Colby Parkinson has 17 receptions. The Stanford Cardinal ground game is averaging 115 yards per contest, and Scarlett leads the way with 321 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Stanford is allowing 29.5 points and 391.8 yards per game. Casey Toohill leads the Stanford Cardinal with 28 tackles, Jordan Fox has one sack and Andrew Pryts has one interception.
The Oregon State Beavers look for a win here to get back to a .500 record. The Oregon State Beavers have lost six of their last seven home games. Jake Luton is completing 57.3 percent of his passes for 675 yards, eight touchdowns and zero interceptions. Luton has 10 touchdown passes in his last four games. Isaiah Hodgins and Champ Flemings have combined for 505 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Noah Togiai has eight receptions. The Oregon State Beavers ground game is averaging 229.3 yards per contest, and Jermar Jefferson leads the way with 270 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Oregon State is allowing 30 points and 452.7 yards per game. Shawn Wilson leads the Oregon State Beavers with 22 tackles, Hamilcar Rashed Jr. has three sacks and Nahshon Wright has one interception.
The Cardinal are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Beavers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games, 2-11 ATS in their last 13 conference games and 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The Cardinal are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings and the favorite is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. The over is 13-5-1 in Beavers last 19 games overall. The over is 8-3 in Cardinal last 11 road games.
It's been a complete struggle for the Stanford Cardinal, but the three teams they've lost to haven't exactly been the easiest opponents, so while it's nothing to gloss over, you can give this team the benefit of the doubt. The Oregon State Beavers have done nothing outside of a win against Cal Poly and have been one of the worst covering teams in the Pac-12 the last three years. Stanford has also beaten Oregon State in each of the last nine meetings, and six of those wins were decided by double digits. This line feels like an overreaction to Stanford's struggles. Expect the Cardinal to get back on track.