Penn State vs. Pittsburgh - 9/14/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Pittsburgh Panthers at Penn State Nittany Lions
Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 11:00 AM (Beaver Stadium)
The Line: Penn State -16.5 -- Over/Under:
The Pittsburgh Panthers and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in college football action at Beaver Stadium.
The Pittsburgh Panthers look to get a game above a .500 record when they take to the road for the first time. The Pittsburgh Panthers have lost four of their last six road games. Kenny Pickett is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 506 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Pickett has one or more touchdown passes in five of his last 10 games. Maurice Ffrench and Taysir Mack have combined for 282 receiving yards and one touchdown while AJ Davis has three receptions. The Pittsburgh Panthers ground game is averaging 119 yards per contest, and Davis leads the way with 114 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 20 points and 261 yards per game. Damar Hamlin leads the Pittsburgh Panthers with 10 tackles, Jaylen Twyman has three sacks and Damarri Mathis has four pass deflections.
The Penn State Nittany Lions look for a quick 3-0 start to the season with their third straight home game. The Penn State Nittany Lions have won their last five home games. Sean Clifford is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 559 yards, six touchdowns and zero interceptions. Clifford enters this game with 52 career pass attempts. KJ Hamler and Pat Freiermuth have combined for 301 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Jahan Dotson has five receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 204.5 yards per contest, and Devyn Ford leads the way with 108 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 10 points and 287 yards per game. Jan Johnson leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 14 tackles, Yetur Gross-Matos has three sacks and John Reid has two interceptions.
The Panthers are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Nittany Lions are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. ACC, 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games and 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 home games. The road team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The over is 16-6 in Nittany Lions last 22 games overall. The under is 21-7-1 in Panthers last 29 games overall.
Penn State has beaten up on Pittsburgh in the last two meetings, including a 51-6 beatdown last year. The Pittsburgh Panthers have failed to cover four of their last seven games as a double-digit underdog. The Penn State Nittany Lions have covered six of their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. While this is a rivalry and the Panthers have the ability to be physical and play up to its competition, Pittsburgh is also a team that hasn't played well through two games. The Penn State Nittany Lions have been covering machines at home the last few years and have shown the ability to keep their foot on the gas under coach James Franklin. I don't love laying big chalk in games like this, but give me Penn State anyway.