Wisconsin Badgers (6-3) at Penn State Nittany Lions (6-3)
|Date & Time||Saturday November 10, 2018, 12:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions -8 -- Over/Under:
The Wisconsin Badgers and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in college football action at Beaver Stadium.
The Wisconsin Badgers look for their second road win of the season and their fourth win over a ranked team since last year. The Wisconsin Badgers have won seven of their last nine road games. Alex Hornibrook is completing 58.1 percent of his passes for 1,343 yards, 11 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Hornibrook has four touchdown passes and six interceptions in his last three games. A.J. Taylor and Jake Ferguson have combined for 767 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Danny Davis III has 24 receptions. The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 273 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 1,363 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing 20.9 points and 352.8 yards per game. Ryan Connelly leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 65 tackles, T.J. Edwards has three sacks and Madison Cone has two interceptions.
The Penn State Nittany Lions could use a bounce back victory here after losing three of their last five games. The Penn State Nittany Lions have won 10 of their last 12 home games. Trace McSorley is completing 52 percent of his passes for 1,711 yards, 12 touchdowns and five interceptions. McSorley has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 15 games. KJ Hamler and Juwan Johnson have combined for 810 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Pat Freiermuth has 16 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 207.8 yards per contest, and Miles Sanders leads the way with 848 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 24.4 points and 388.6 yards per game. Micah Parsons leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 51 tackles, Yetur Gross-Matos has seven sacks and Amani Oruwariye has two interceptions.
The Badgers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Nittany Lions are 13-4-2 ATS in their last 19 home games, 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 conference games and 22-8-2 ATS in their last 32 games overall. The Badgers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the favorite is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. The over is 13-3 in Nittany Lions last 16 games overall and the over is 7-3 in Badgers last 10 road games.
The Wisconsin Badgers have been hit or miss recently, but they're one of the most solid teams in the country in terms of you know what you're going to get, and they've been money ATS on the road over the years. The Penn State Nittany Lions have lost three of their last five games and are coming off an absolute beatdown against Michigan. The Wisconsin Badgers have covered six of their last nine games when an underdog of at least three points. The Penn State Nittany Lions have covered six of their last nine games when a favorite of at least three points. I'm honestly surprised that Penn State is this big of a favorite here. The Nittany Lions haven't played well the last few weeks and you have to question how healthy McSorley is, as he left the Iowa game with a knee injury and had a brutal game last week. Give me the Badgers and the points.