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Purdue vs. Auburn - Music City Bowl - 12/28/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Auburn Tigers (7-5) at Purdue Boilermakers (6-6)
Date & Time Friday December 28, 2018, 1:30 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Purdue Boilermakers +4.5 -- Over/Under: 54
TV Channel
ESPN
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CFB | Auburn Tigers (7-5) at Purdue Boilermakers (6-6)
Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

The Purdue Boilermakers and the Auburn Tigers meet in the Music City Bowl from Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee in college football action.

The Purdue Boilermakers come into this bowl game with a 6-6 record, including a 5-4 mark in Big Ten conference play. David Blough has thrown for 3,521 yards, 25 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 66.6% passing while D.J. Knox leads Purdue with 868 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns this season and Markell Jones has 502 rushing yards and 5 scores. Rondale Moore leads Purdue’s receiving group with 103 receptions for 1,164 yards and 12 touchdowns while Isaac Zico has 43 catches for 712 yards and 6 scores. Brycen Hopkins has also chipped in 32 grabs for 564 yards and Terry Wright has 468 yards and 5 TDs this year. As a team, Purdue is averaging 459 yards of total offense and 31.9 points per game this season.

The Auburn Tigers come into this game with a 7-5 record, including 3-5 in SEC conference play to finish 5th out of 7 teams in the SEC West division. Jarrett Stidham has thrown for 2,421 yards, 13 touchdowns and 5 interceptions while JaTarvious Whitlow leads the Tigers with 777 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. Ryan Davis leads Auburn with 64 catches for 523 yards, while Darius Slayton has 510 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns and Seth Williams has 479 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns this season. As a team, Auburn is averaging 373.6 yards of total offense and 28.2 points per game this season.

Purdue is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 bowl games. Auburn is 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games while the under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 bowl games.

I can understand why Auburn would be the favorite here as I’m guessing a lot of Auburn fans will be making the trek from Alabama to Tennessee for this game. However, I kind of wonder how up for this game Auburn truly is going to be after having such a recent string of meaningful bowl games in the last few years and now having to play in what is just another game by the Tigers’ standards. Purdue on the other hand, has a chance to win back-to-back bowl games for the first time in 20 years with a victory here, and to be honest, I just trust Purdue more here, so I’ll take the points with the Boilermakers.

Pick:
Purdue +4.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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