Air Force Falcons (2-3) at San Diego State Aztecs (4-1)
|Date & Time||Friday October 12, 2018, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: San Diego State Aztecs -9 -- Over/Under:
The Air Force Falcons visit the San Diego State Aztecs in week 7 Mountain West conference college football action from SDCCU Stadium on Friday night.
The Air Force Falcons will look for a road win to get back to .500 after improving to 2-3 this season with a 35-7 win over Navy in their last outing. Isaiah Sanders leads the Falcons with 289 passing yards this season while Cole Fagan leads the Falcons in rushing with 252 rushing yards and Kadin Remsberg has 224 rushing yards this season. Marcus Bennett leads Air Force’s receiving corps with 12 catches for 238 yards this season. As a team, Air Force is averaging 371 yards of total offense and 31.4 points per game this season.
The San Diego State Aztecs will look for another win to add to their current 4 game winning streak after going on the road and taking down Boise State as 13.5-point underdogs, winning the game 19-13. Ryan Agnew has thrown for 577 yards, 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 55.1% passing while Juwan Washington has 513 rushing yards and 5 TDs and Chase Jasmin has 311 rushing yards this season. Ethan Dedeaux leads SDSU with 13 catches for 161 yards this season in the receiving department. As a team, San Diego State is averaging 349.8 yards of total offense and 21.6 points per game while also dominating defensively against the run, allowing the 2nd-fewest rushing yards per game in the country with 61.8 yards against per game this season.
Air Force is 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 road games. San Diego State is 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games against a team with a losing record and 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 conference matchups while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Air Force is 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
I’m a believer in San Diego State after the Aztecs went on the road and won as huge underdogs in arguably the toughest environment in the Mountain West. Now the Aztecs return home to face an Air Force team that the Aztecs have had the number of over the years and feeds right into San Diego State’s strength on defense in stopping the run. I just don’t see Air Force having an answer for Washington and the Aztec offense and I don’t see the Falcons being able to run much offense against San Diego State so I’ll side with the Aztecs at home here.