San Diego State vs. Utah State - 9/21/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Diego State vs. Utah State
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 9:30 PM (SDCCU Stadium)
Utah State -4 -- O/U: 53.5
The Utah State Aggies and the San Diego State Aztecs meet in a week 4 Mountain West conference college football action from SDCCU Stadium on Saturday night.
The Utah State Aggies will look to build on a 62-7 win over Stony Brook in their last outing. Jordan Love has thrown for 710 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 70.7% passing while Jaylen Warren has rushed for 246 yards and 3 touchdowns and Gerold Bright has 104 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns this season. Siaosi Mariner has a team-high 13 receptions for 191 yards and a pair of touchdowns while Deven Thompkins has 136 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns as well. Caleb Repp and Jordan Nathan are also 100-yard receivers for the Aggies this season. Defensively, David Woodward leads Utah State with 28 tackles, including 20 solo tackles as one of 6 Aggies in double-digit tackles this season. As a team, Utah State is averaging 656.5 yards of total offense and 48.5 points per game this season.
The San Diego State Aztecs will look to build on their solid 3-0 start to the year after picking up a 31-10 win over New Mexico State in their last outing. Ryan Agnew has thrown for 507 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 64% passing while Jordan Byrd has rushed for 197 yards and a pair of touchdowns and Chance Bell has 135 rushing yards this season. Kobe Smith leads San Diego State with 165 receiving yards and a touchdown while Jesse Matthews has 105 yards with both having 11 receptions this season. Defensively, Dwayne Johnson Jr. has 25 tackles and Kyahva Tezino has 22 tackles while Myles Cheatum has 2.5 sacks this season. As a team, San Diego State is averaging 336 yards of total offense and 20 points per game this season.
Utah State is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 24-10 in their last 34 conference games. San Diego State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall.
Utah State has been a covering machine dating back to last season, so laying points with them on the road could be a tempting proposition. However, the Aggies lost to an average Wake Forest team on the road by 3, and a blowout over Stony Brook doesn’t really move the meter that much for me. San Diego State was impressive against UCLA and followed that up with a really good performance against New Mexico State. The Aztecs have also never lost to Utah State, and the two meetings as conference opponents have seen San Diego State win by a combined margin of 61 points. Hard for me to pass up the free points with San Diego State here.