SMU vs. North Texas - 9/7/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
North Texas Mean Green at SMU Mustangs
Saturday, September 7, 2019 at 6:00 PM (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)
The Line: SMU -4 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The North Texas Mean Green and SMU Mustangs meet Saturday in college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
The North Texas Mean Green look for another win after beating Abilene Christian by 20 in their season opener. The North Texas Mean Green have won four of their last six road games. Mason Fine is completing 75.7 percent of his passes for 383 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Fine has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last seven games. Rico Bussey, Jr. and Jason Pirtle have combined for 244 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Jaelon Darden has 10 receptions. The North Texas Mean Green ground game is averaging 192 yards per contest, and DeAndre Torrey leads the way with 95 yards on 11 carries. Defensively, North Texas is allowing 31 points and 456 yards per game. Nick Harvey leads the North Texas Mean Green with 14 tackles, Dion Novil has one sack and Taylor Robinson has two pass deflections.
The SMU Mustangs look for a quick 2-0 start after beating Arkansas State on the road. The SMU Mustangs have won three of their last five home games. Shane Buechele is completing 61.2 percent of his passes for 360 yards, zero touchdowns and one interception. Buechele has two touchdown passes on his last 92 pass attempts. Reggie Roberson, Jr. and James Proche have combined for 246 receiving yards on 18 catches while Kylen Granson has five receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 148 yards per contest, and Ke'Mon Freeman leads the way with 86 yards on 22 carries. Defensively, SMU is allowing 30 points and 414 yards per game. Delano Robinson leads the SMU Mustangs with eight tackles, Delontae Scott has one sack and Terrance Newman has one interception.
The Mean Green are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in September, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Mustangs are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in September and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The over is 7-3 in Mustangs last 10 games in September. The under is 13-3-1 in Mean Green last 17 games overall.
The North Texas Mean Green looked good int heir season opener and have had success on the road dating back to last season. However, the SMU Mustangs were far more impressive in their season debut, winning on the road as a slight underdog and getting anything and everything they wanted offensively. If Buechele is going to have that much success through the air moving forward, the Mustangs will be a factor this season in the AAC. I'm not sure North Texas has the horses offensively to hang with SMU in this spot, so I'll lay the reasonable chalk with the home team.