SMU vs. Texas State - 9/14/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas State Bobcats at SMU Mustangs
Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 6:00 PM (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)
The Line: SMU Mustangs -18 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Texas State Bobcats and SMU Mustangs meet Saturday in college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
The Texas State Bobcats need a victory here to rebound from a poor 0-2 start. The Texas State Bobcats have lost six of their last seven road games. Gresch Jensen is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 554 yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions. Jensen enters this game with 85 career pass attempts under his belt. Hutch White and Trevis Graham, Jr. have combined for 255 receiving yards and one touchdown while Jah’Marae Sheread has seven receptions. The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 29 yards per contest, and Caleb Twyford leads the way with 59 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 32 points and 388.5 yards per game. Nikolas Daniels leads the Texas State Bobcats with 17 tackles, Kumonde Hines has 0.5 sacks and Bryan London II has one interception.
The SMU Mustangs look for another win to get off to a solid 3-0 start to the season. The SMU Mustangs have won four of their last six home games. Shane Buechele is completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 652 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Buechele has five touchdown passes dating back to last season. Reggie Roberson, Jr. and James Proche have combined for 455 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Kylen Granson has seven receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 179.5 yards per contest, and Xavier Jones leads the way with 183 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 28.5 points and 405 yards per game. Patrick Nelson leads the SMU Mustangs with 13 tackles, Demerick Gary has two sacks and Terrance Newman has one interception.
The Bobcats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Mustangs are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 13-6 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September. The over is 4-0 in Mustangs last 4 non-conference games. The under is 5-0 in Bobcats last 5 games overall.
The Texas State Bobcats are 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a double-digit underdog. The SMU Mustangs have split their last 12 games ATS as a double-digit favorite. The Texas State Bobcats have done nothing offensively through two games and have watched two quarterbacks get sacked a combined eight times. The SMU Mustangs could tighten things up defensively, but they've been an offensive machine out of the gate and have actually scored 37 or more points in four of their last six games. If the teams continue the form they're in, SMU should run away with this thing. I'll lay the chalk with the home team.