South Carolina vs. Kentucky - 9/28/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
South Carolina vs. Kentucky
Saturday, September 28, 2019 at 6:31 PM (Williams-Brice Stadium)
South Carolina -2 -- O/U: 51.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Kentucky Wildcats and the South Carolina Gamecocks meet in a week 5 SEC conference college football matchup from Williams-Brice Stadium on Saturday night.
The Kentucky Wildcats will be out to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 28-13 loss to Mississippi State last time out to fall to 2-2 on the year. Sawyer Smith has thrown for 575 yards, 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 50.6% passing while Asim Rose leads Kentucky in rushing with 297 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns and Kavosley Smoke has 276 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns this season. Lynn Bowden Jr. leads Kentucky’s receiving corps with 27 catches for 330 yards while Ahmad Wagner has 213 receiving yards and Josh Ali has 102 receiving yards for UK this season. Defensively, DeAndre Square leads Kentucky with 31 total tackles, as well as 1.5 sacks while Brandin Echols has 25 total tackles including a team-high 21 solo tackles this season. As a team, Kentucky is averaging 419 yards of total offense and 27.5 points per game while allowing 398 yards of total defense and 24.5 points per game against this season.
The South Carolina Gamecocks will also be looking to rebound from back-to-back losses, falling to 1-3 on the year with a 34-14 loss to Missouri in their last outing. Ryan Hilinski has thrown for 772 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 62.4% passing while Rico Dowdle leads the Gamecocks on the ground with 268 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Tavien Feaster has 183 rushing yards and Kevin Harris has 147 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns of his own while Mon Denson is the 4th Gamecock to rush for at least 100 yards this season. Bryan Edwards leads South Carolina in receiving with 21 catches for 311 yards and 3 touchdowns while Shi Smith has 190 receiving yards and Kyle Markway has 172 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Ernest Jones leads South Carolina with 31 total tackles, including 16 solo tackles while T.J. Brunson has 29 total tackles and Javon Kinlaw leads South Carolina with 4 sacks through 4 games this season. As a team, South Carolina is averaging 443.8 yards of total offense and 32.2 points per game while allowing 435.5 yards of total defense and 28.8 points per game against this season.
Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Kentucky is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a game where they failed to cover the spread while the over is 7-3 in their last 10 home games. Kentucky is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams at South Carolina.
This is a hard game to call, as both sides have been slumping over the last couple of weeks, but the issue I have is that I’m not sure South Carolina should be favored as they’ve had these recent losses at full strength. Kentucky’s dealt with injuries to the QB position among others, but Sawyer Smith has proven to be a capable backup and the Wildcats still have some solid talent around Smith to put points on the board. The Wildcats hung around with a pretty good Florida team and had their chances to win that game a couple of weeks ago, and the Wildcats have also had all of the recent success against South Carolina. I’ll take Kentucky and the points here as I see the Wildcats winning this game straight up.