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South Florida Bulls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - 12/21/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (11-2) at South Florida Bulls (7-4)
Date & Time Monday December 21, 2015, 2:30 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: South Florida Bulls +3 -- Over/Under: 66
TV Channel
ESPN
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CFB | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (11-2) at South Florida Bulls (7-4)
USA TODAY Sports

The high powered Western Kentucky Hilltoppers take on the South Florida Bulls in the Miami Beach Bowl.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are known for their scoring ability with good reason but they have shown some stopping power as well. The defense allowed 389 yards and just 25 points which was more then acceptable with the Hilltoppers piling up 520 yards and 44 points behind a monster passing attack that was ranked 6th with 365 yards per contest. Brando Doughty was a special talent for WKY as he completed almost 72% of his throws for nearly 4,600 yards and 45 touchdowns versus seven picks. Taywan Taylor led the Toppers with 79 catches for 1,356 yards and 17 scores while four others totaled between 560-850 yards. Anthony Wales was the best option on the ground for Western Kentucky with 981 yards and a seven yard average.

Early in the season the South Florida Bulls couldn’t score to save their lives but the Bulls turned things around to win seven of eight and have outscored the opposition 33-21. USF allowed 361 yards led by the #33 run D that gave up 140 yards while the run first offense averaged 429 yards behind the #11 rushing attack that averaged 244 yards. Quarterback Quinton Flowers gave South Florida a great dual threat with over 2,000 passing yards and 883 yards on the ground. Marlon Mack was the top rushing option with nearly 1,300 yards and averaged over 6 ½ yards per carry. Rodney Adams was the Bulls top receiver with 38 receptions for 686 yards although four others totaled between 200-350 receiving yards so it was a mistake to ignore the USF pass.

The over is 6-1 in Hilltoppers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record and is 6-1 in Hilltoppers last 7 games on grass while going 6-1 in Hilltoppers last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Bulls are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game and  are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while South Florida  are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. South Florida was scoring at will to end the year and the Hilltoppers always score at will…

Pick:
over 66

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