Stanford Cardinal (10-2) at Southern Cal Trojans (8-4)
|Date & Time||Saturday December 5, 2015, 7:45 PM (EST)|
The Line: Southern Cal Trojans +4.5 -- Over/Under: 58
The Stanford Cardinal and USC Trojans meet Saturday night at Levi's Stadium for the PAC-12 Championship.
The Stanford Cardinal are looking for their third PAC-12 title and first since the 2013 season. Kevin Hogan is completing 68.3 percent of his passes for 2,500 yards, 23 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Hogan has seven passing touchdowns in his last three games. Michael Rector and Christian McCaffrey have combined for 909 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Austin Hooper has 29 receptions. The Stanford Cardinal ground game is averaging 222 yards per contest, and McCaffrey leads the way with 1,640 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Stanford is allowing 23.2 points and 376 yards per game. Blake Martinez leads the Cardinal with 120 tackles, Quenton Meeks has two interceptions and Mike Tyler has 4.5 sacks.
The USC Trojans look for their first Pac-12 title in their first championship appearance. Cody Kessler is completing 68.4 percent of his passes for 3,128 yards, 27 touchdowns and six interceptions. Kessler has seven passing touchdowns in his last three games. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Adoree' Jackson have combined for 1,684 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Steven Mitchell Jr. has 32 receptions. The USC Trojans ground game is averaging 176.6 yards per contest, and Ronald Jones II leads the way with 890 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, USC is allowing 24.7 points and 400 yards per game. Cameron Smith leads the Trojans with 78 tackles, Iman Marshall has three interceptions and Su'a Cravens has 5.5 sacks. Alex Wood, Khaliel Rodgers and Leon McQuay III are questionable.
The Cardinal are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in December and 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Trojans are 8-23 ATS in their last 31 games following a S.U. win and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. The Cardinal are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Southern California.
USC is way too inconsistent for me to back. Meanwhile, Stanford is the complete opposite and is far more balanced. Not to mention USC can't stop the run, which is bad news when facing a guy like McCaffrey. I'll take Stanford by a touchdown.