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Tennessee vs. Kentucky - 11/15/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kentucky Wildcats (5-5) at Tennessee Volunteers (4-5)
Date & Time Saturday November 15, 2014, 4:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Tennessee Volunteers -7.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
SEC Network
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CFB | Kentucky Wildcats (5-5) at Tennessee Volunteers (4-5)

The Tennessee Volunteers and the Kentucky Wildcats face off on Saturday in Knoxville in SEC college football action.

The Tennessee Volunteers are 4-5 this season and they are still in contention to play in a bowl game. Tennessee had a bye week last week but they are coming off of a big win at South Carolina. The Tennessee offense is averaging 26.2 points and 367.1 yards per game and with QB Joshua Dobbs we have seen the offense add a new dimension that defenses must account for. Jalen Hurd leads the Tennessee rushing attack with 598 yards and two touchdowns and he has 26 receptions and Alton Howard is the Vols leading receiver with 35 receptions and Marquez North has four receiving touchdowns. The Tennessee defense allows 25 points and 375 yards per game with 17 takeaways and 24 sacks. A.J. Johnson has 96 tackles, Jaylen Reeves-Maybin has 71 tackles, and Derek Barnet has seven sacks. Tennessee looks like they may have figured a few things out and are ready to turn the corner.

The Kentucky Wildcats are a win away from being bowl eligible but they are coming off of a blow out loss at the hands of Georgia. UK has played well in spots but against the better teams in the SEC they have been gutted. The Kentucky offense is averaging 29.4 points and 402.3 yards per game guided by QB Patrick Towles who has completed 58.4 percent of his passes with 14 touchdowns and six interceptions. Stanley Williams is averaging 6.9 yards per carry and Braylon Heard is averaging 5.6 as Kentucky has rotated running backs and Ryan Timmons is the Cats leading receiver with 41 catches and two touchdowns. The Kentucky defense allows 28.1 points and 390 yards per game with 19 takeaways and 23 sacks. Josh Forrest has 82 tackles, Za’Darius Smith has 54 tackles, and Alvin Dupreee has 53 tackles including 5.5 sacks. Kentucky is improving but they aren’t consistent yet.

Tennessee is 0-4 against the spread following a win, 2-13-1 against the spread following a game that they covered the point spread, and 1-5 against the spread after scoring 40 or more points in their previous game. Kentucky is 6-17 against the spread in their last 23 SEC games, 5-17 against the spread in their last 22 road games, and 1-6 against the spread following a loss. The favorite has covered the point spread in five of the last six meetings of these two.

Tennessee is well rested here and Kentucky looks beaten down after recent weeks and while I like Tennessee to win the game, I am taking the points with Kentucky. 

Kentucky Wildcats +7.5

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