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Texas Bowl: Texas vs. Arkansas - 12/29/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Texas Longhorns (6-6) at Arkansas Razorbacks (6-6)
Date & Time Monday December 29, 2014, 9:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Arkansas Razorbacks -6.5 -- Over/Under: 44
TV Channel
ESPN
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CFB | Texas Longhorns (6-6) at Arkansas Razorbacks (6-6)
USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Longhorns and the Arkansas Razorbacks face off on Monday in NRG Stadium in the Advocare V100 Texas Bowl.

The Texas Longhorns won four of their last six games to finish the season at 6-6 and become bowl eligible. The Texas offense averages 22.6 points and 360.5 yards per game and they are led by QB Tyrone Swoopes who completed 58.8 percent of his passes for 13 touchdowns and 10 interceptions and he rushed for 294 yards and three touchdowns. Malcolm Brown has rushed for 683 yards and six touchdowns and Johnathan Gray rushed for 628 yards and seven touchdowns while John Harris has 64 receptions and seven touchdowns and Jaxon Shipley has 58 receptions. The Texas defense allows 23.2 points and 348.3 yards per game with 22 takeaways and 39 sacks. Jordan Hicks has 138 tackles, Steve Edmond has 122 tackles, and Dylan Haines has 79 tackles. Texas didn’t look like a bowl team most of the season but they did what they needed to do to become eligible.

The Arkansas Razorbacks finished the season at 6-6 and though they lost their final game they were playing their best football over the final weeks of the season. The Arkansas offense is averaging 32 points and 410.6 yards per game and they are led by QB Brandon Allen who has completed 56.3 percent of his passes with 18 touchdowns and five interceptions. Jonathan Williams rushed for 1,085 yards and 11 touchdowns and Alex Collins rushed for 1,024 yards and 12 touchdowns and Keon Hatcher is Arkansas’ top receiver with 39 catches and five touchdowns. The Arkansas defense allows 20.2 points and 345.4 yards per game with 22 takeaways and 21 sacks. Martrell Spaight has 123 tackles, Brooks Ellis has 68 tackles, and Trey Flowers has 63 tackles and 5.0 sacks. Arkansas beat some heavy hitters in the final weeks beating LSU and Ole Miss.

Texas is 4-1 against the spread following a loss, 4-1 against the spread in their last five neutral site games, and 6-2 against the spread following a loss by 20 or more points. Arkansas is 5-0 against the spread against the Big 12, 9-2 against the spread in their last 11 games, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five bowl games.

This should be a defensive game played primarily between the 20’s which makes for an under which is my free pick. 

Pick:
Under 44

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