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Texas State vs. Arkansas State - 11/20/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-4) at Texas State Bobcats (5-5)
Date & Time Thursday November 20, 2014, 9:30 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Texas State Bobcats +6 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPNU
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CFB | Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-4) at Texas State Bobcats (5-5)
USA TODAY Sports

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Texas State Bobcats play Thursday night at Bobcat Stadium.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have split their last four games and are 2-3 SU on the road. Arkansas State is an offensive team led by Fredi Knighten, who is completing 61.9 percent of his passes for 15 touchdowns and four interceptions. Knighten has seven total touchdowns and zero picks in his last two games, and ASU has 15 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Dijon Paschal and J.D. McKissic have combined for more than 1,000 receiving yards and four touchdowns, while Tres Houston has 10 of his 40 catches in his last two games. Arkansas State’s ground game is averaging 4.7 yards per carry, and Michael Gordon leads the way with 844 yards and 10 touchdowns. Arkansas State has won 20 of its last 24 games when rushing for at least two touchdowns. Defensively, the Arkansas State Red Wolves are allowing 25.3 points, 388.1 yards, and they’ve forced 32 sacks and 24 turnovers. Xavier Woodson leads Arkansas State with 75 tackles and Ja'Von Rolland-Jones has 12 tackles for loss.

The Texas State Bobcats have also split their last four games and are looking for their first home win in over a month. Texas State relies heavily on its ground game that’s averaging 4.9 yards per carry and has 15 running plays of 20 or more yards. Robert Lowe and Terrence Franks have combined for more than 1,300 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns. Texas State has won six of its last eight games when topping 200 rushing yards. Tyler Jones is completing 64.2 percent of his passes for 18 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Jones has thrown at least one touchdown in every game this season and has two picks in his last four games. Bradley Miller and Brandon Smith have more than 700 receiving yards and two touchdowns, while Ben Ijah has five of his 25 catches in his last two games. Defensively, the Texas State Bobcats are allowing 27.4 points, 433.9 yards, and they’ve forced 24 sacks and 15 turnovers. David Mayo leads texas State with 141 tackles and Michael Odiari has 11 tackles for loss.

The Red Wolves are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 conference games and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Bobcats are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. 

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have been a covering machine for quite some time and Fredi Knighten is one of the better QB's very few know about. Give me the Red Wolves by a touchdown against an up-and-down Texas State squad. 

Pick:
Arkansas State Red Wolves -6

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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