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Texas State vs. Georgia Southern - 10/11/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Georgia Southern Eagles (4-1) at Texas State Bobcats (1-4)
Date & Time Thursday October 11, 2018, 7:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Texas State Bobcats +17 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPNU
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CFB | Georgia Southern Eagles (4-1) at Texas State Bobcats (1-4)
Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports

The Georgia Southern Eagles and the Texas State Bobcats meet in week 7 college football action from Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium in San Marcos, TX on Thursday night.

The Georgia Southern Eagles will look to build on back-to-back wins which has Georgia Southern sitting at 4-1 and 2-0 in Sun Belt conference play following a 48-13 win over South Alabama in their last outing. Shai Werts has thrown for 363 yards and 4 touchdowns while rushing for 454 yards and a team-high 8 rushing TDs. Wesiey Fields and Monteo Garrett each have 3 touchdowns with Fields outrushing Garrett 379 to 253. Wesley Kennedy III leads the Eagles in receiving with 7 catches for 152 yards this season. As a team, Georgia Southern is averaging 357.2 yards of total offense per game, including the 7th-most rushing yards per game in the country with 276.6 per game along with 30.8 points per game this season.

The Texas State Bobcats will look for a big home win to bounce back from a 1-4 start including 0-2 in Sun Belt conference play following a 42-27 loss to the Ragin’ Cajuns of Louisiana in their last outing. Tyler Vitt has thrown for 518 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions while Willie Jones III has 517 passing yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 picks, along with a team-high 189 rushing yards this season. Keenen Brown leads the Bobcats’ receiving corps with 346 yards and 4 touchdowns on 23 catches this season. As a team, Texas State is averaging 352.2 yards of total offense and 24.4 points per game this season. 

Georgia Southern is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference matchups while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 games against a team with a losing record. Texas State is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 conference matchups. 

The Bobcats are flat out struggling right now, as Texas State has lost three in a row and just hasn’t been able to keep points off of the board. That won’t fly against a Georgia Southern offense that can rush and move the ball at will whenever they feel like it. The Bobcats lost by 10 to South Alabama, giving the Jaguars their only win this season, and it’s also the same Jaguars team that Georgia Southern just pumped by five touchdowns. I think this is a simple pick, lay the points with Georgia Southern on the road here.

Pick:
Georgia Southern -17

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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