Texas State vs. Georgia State - 9/21/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas State vs. Georgia State
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 6:00 PM (Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium)
Texas State Bobcats -3 -- O/U: 63.5
The Georgia State Panthers and the Texas State Bobcats meet in a week 4 Sun Belt conference college football matchup from Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium on Saturday night.
The Georgia State Panthers will look to bounce back from their first loss of the season, falling to 2-1 on the year after being walloped by Western Michigan 57-10 in their last outing. Dan Ellington has thrown for 627 yards, 8 touchdowns and an interception on 63% passing while Tra Barnett leads Georgia State in rushing with 274 rushing yards and a pair of rushing scores. Ellington and Seth Paige are also 100-yard rushers for the Panthers this season while Cornelius McCoy leads Georgia State with 15 receptions for 199 yards and 2 touchdowns. Devin Gentry has 107 receiving yards while Aubry Payne has 3 touchdown catches for Georgia State this season. Defensively, Trajan Stephens-McQueen leads Georgia State with 26 tackles including 17 solo tackles while Ed Curney had 20 tackles with 12 solo tackles. As a team, Georgia State is averaging 418 yards of total offense and 32 points per game this season.
The Texas State Bobcats will be on the hunt for their first win of the season following a 3rd straight loss to start the year following a 47-17 loss to SMU last time out. Gresch Jensen has thrown for 739 yards, 3 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 61.5% passing while Caleb Twyford has led the Bobcats with 84 rushing yards. Hutch White leads Texas State’s receiving group with 23 catches for 198 yards while Travis Graham Jr. has 132 receiving yards and Jah’Marae Sheread has 105 receiving yards. Bryan London II leads the Bobcats’ defense with 25 tackles, including 12 solo tackles while Nikolas Daniels and Jalen Smith have 22 and 21 tackles respectively. As a team, Texas State is averaging 301.3 yards of total offense and 12.7 points per game this season.
Georgia State is 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 conference games and 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 road games while the over is 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. Texas State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
This game is a bit tough to call, as you’d think that the Bobcats are probably due for their first win since Georgia State got pummeled in their last outing and haven’t been good ATS in conference or on the road dating back to last season. However, both teams can throw the ball, but the difference for me is that Georgia State is much better on the ground and that could be the difference if Georgia State gets up as they’re more likely to stay on the field and chew clock late. I’ll take Georgia State and the points in a game I see Georgia State winning outright.