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Texas State vs. New Mexico State - 10/27/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Mexico State Aggies (2-6) at Texas State Bobcats (1-6)
Date & Time Saturday October 27, 2018, 7:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Texas State Bobcats -2.5 -- Over/Under:
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CFB | New Mexico State Aggies (2-6) at Texas State Bobcats (1-6)
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The New Mexico State Aggies and the Texas State Bobcats meet in week 9 college football action from Jim Wacker Field on Saturday night.

The New Mexico State Aggies will look to rebound from back-to-back losses, including a 48-31 loss to Georgia Southern in their last outing. Josh Adkins has thrown for 1,315 yards, 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 61.1% passing while Christian Gibson and Jason Huntley have combined to rush for 739 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Johnathan Boone leads the Aggies with 34 catches for 422 yards, while Jason Huntley, Drew Dan and OJ Clark each have 250+ receiving yards this season. As a team, New Mexico State is averaging 348.6 yards of total offense and 25 points per game this season.

The Texas State Bobcats will be out for a win to snap a 5 game losing streak following a 20-14 loss to Louisiana Monroe in their last outing. Tyler Vitt has thrown for 765 yards, 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 65.8% passing this season while Anthony D. Taylor and Willie Jones III have combined for 439 rushing yards this season. Keenen Brown leads the Bobcats with 30 catches for 420 yards and 4 touchdowns this season. As a team, Texas State is averaging 320.7 yards of total offense and 21.3 points per game this season. 

New Mexico State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall while the over is 14-3 in their last 17 road games against a team with a losing home record. Texas State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games while the over is 7-3 in their last 10 games on turf. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

I’m not trying to back either one of these teams, but if forced to pick, New Mexico State has shown a capable offense, scoring 118 points over their last 3 games, while Texas State’s offense appears to be slowing down. The Aggies also come into this one in slightly better form, splitting their last 4 games while the Bobcats have lost 5 in a row so I’ll take the points with New Mexico State here.

New Mexico State +2.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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