Texas vs. Louisiana Tech - 8/31/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Steven Erler-USA TODAY Sports
Louisiana Tech at Texas
Saturday, August 31, 2019 at 7:00 PM (Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium / Jamall Field)
Texas Longhorns -20.5 -- O/U: 54.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
TV: Longhorn Network Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now!
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and the Texas Longhorns meet in week 1 non-conference college football action from Texas Memorial Field.
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs come into the 2018 season looking to build on a solid 2018 campaign that saw the Bulldogs finish with an 8-5 overall record, including 5-3 in C-USA play, finishing in a three-way tie for second in the C-USA West division. The Bulldogs received a Hawaii Bowl invite, where they took down the host Hawaii Warriors by a final score of 31-14. J’Mar Smith is back under center for the Bulldogs after throwing for 3,160 yards, 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 57.3% passing. Jaquis Dancy is also back after logging 667 yards and 9 touchdowns last season while averaging 5.4 yards per carry. 10 of Louisiana Tech’s top 11 receivers are back including Adrian Hardy who led the Bulldogs with 75 receptions for 1,145 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, the Bulldogs said goodbye to Jaylon Ferguson who finished as the NCAA’s all-time sack leader. Willie Baker will be tasked with getting into the opposing backfield for the Bulldogs while Collin Scott returns to lead the linebacking group after logging 87 tackles, 9.5 TFL and 4 sacks last season. Most of LA Tech’s secondary is back, including Amik Robertson who recorded 4 interceptions last season and James Jackson at safety who registered 73 tackles and 7.5 TFL last season. As a team, Louisiana Tech averaged 379.4 yards of total offense and 24.7 points per game last season.
The Texas Longhorns will look to build on one of the more successful seasons in recent memory, finishing the year with a 10-4 overall record, including a 7-2 Big 12 conference play record, finishing in 2nd in the Big 12 standings and earning a ticket to the Big 12 title game, a game that Texas lost to Oklahoma. The Longhorns received an invite to the Sugar Bowl where Texas took down Georgia by a final score of 28-21. Sam Ehlinger is back as the face of Longhorn football after throwing for 3,292 yards, 25 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 64.7% passing while also finishing 2nd on the team in rushing as Texas’ short-yardage specialist, finishing with 482 rushing yards and 16 rushing scores. Keaontay Ingram will be tasked to lead Texas’ ground attack after logging 708 yards and 3 touchdowns while averaging five yards per carry. Collin Johnson returns to lead Texas’ receiving corps after logging 68 grabs for 985 yards and 7 touchdowns while Josh Moore and Devin Duvernay will be expected to bolster the Longhorns’ pass-catching group. Defensively, the Longhorns return just three starters, while 4 of the top 5 and 7 of the top 12 tacklers from last season are gone. Malcolm Roach will be tasked with getting pressure up front, while the secondary boasts some solid talent with the likes of Brandon Jones, who returns as Texas’ top returning tackler with 70 tackles last season. As a team, Texas averaged 411.6 yards of total offense and 31.1 points per game while allowing 393.6 yards and 25.9 points per game last season.
Louisiana Tech is 38-18 ATS in their last 56 road games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against the Big 12 while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 games overall. Texas is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games against C-USA.
Texas will and should obviously be the favorite here as they’re the better team with Ehlinger leading the charge. However, while the Longhorn defense is talented, they still will need some time to gel together after having to almost completely re-tool their starting lineup. Louisiana Tech has a history of hanging tough on the road, and this is a Bulldogs offense that remains mostly in tact from last season. I think Texas wins this game, but three touchdowns is asking a lot I think. I’ll take a shot with the Bulldogs and the points in this one.