Oklahoma Sooners (2-2) at Texas Longhorns (2-2)
|Date & Time||Saturday October 8, 2016, 12:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Texas Longhorns +8 -- Over/Under:
The Texas Longhorns and Oklahoma Sooners square off Saturday afternoon in the Red River Rivalry at the Cotton Bowl on FS1.
The Texas Longhorns have a chance to win their fourth straight game against a ranked team. Shane Buechele is completing 65.5 percent of his passes for 959 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. Buechele has moved the chains 37 times through the air in his first four games. John Burt and Jacorey Warrick have combined for 363 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Jerrod Heard has 14 receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 261 yards per contest, and D’Onta Foreman leads the way with 436 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 38.3 points and 428.5 yards per game. Anthony Wheeler leads the Longhorns with 32 tackles, Kevin Vaccaro has two sacks and Sheroid Evans has three pass deflections.
The Oklahoma Sooners are desperate for back-to-back victories to get a game above a .500 record. Baker Mayfield is completing 67.8 percent of his passes for 1,067 yards, nine touchdowns and two interceptions. Mayfield has two or more touchdown passes in 11 of his last 12 games. Dede Westbrook and Mark Andrews have combined for 529 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Joe Mixon has 12 receptions. The Oklahoma Sooners ground game is averaging 198.7 yards per contest, and Mixon leads the way with 340 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Oklahoma is allowing 35.3 points and 429.3 yards per game. Jordan Evans leads the Sooners with 34 tackles, Ogbonnia Okoronkwo has four sacks and Steven Parker has one interception.
The under is 7-0 in Longhorns last 7 games on grass. The Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October. The Longhorns are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings and the over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma.
Since Oklahoma's blowout win over Texas in 2012, the Longhorns have beaten the Sooners in two of the last three meetings. That includes a Texas win last year when it was 16-point underdogs. I know the Longhorns have zero defense and that brutal secondary is going to get lit up by Mayfield and company. However, Oklahoma isn't great defensively in its own right and this is a rivarly game where you tend to throw stats out the window. I also don't trust Bob Stoops in big games.
I'll take my chances with the points here.