Texas vs. Oklahoma State - 9/21/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Longhorns
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 6:30 PM (Royal Texas Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Texas Longhorns -7 -- Over/Under:
The Oklahoma State Cowboys and Texas Longhorns meet Saturday in college football action at Royal Texas Memorial Stadium.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys look for a statement win to build on their 3-0 record. The Oklahoma State Cowboys have lost four of their last six road games. Spencer Sanders is completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 622 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception. Sanders has seven touchdown passes on 64 pass attempts. Tylan Wallace and Dillon Stoner have combined for 478 receiving yards and six touchdowns while C.J. Moore has three receptions. The Oklahoma State Cowboys ground game is averaging 285.3 yards per contest, and Chuba Hubbard leads the way with 521 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Oklahoma State is allowing 23.7 points and 387.3 yards per game. Malcolm Rodriguez leads the Oklahoma State Cowboys with 31 tackles, Amen Ogbongbemiga has 3.5 sacks and A.J. Green has one interception.
The Texas Longhorns need a victory here to build on their 2-1 start to the season. The Texas Longhorns have won six of their last eight home games. Sam Ehlinger is completing 73.2 percent of his passes for 956 yards, 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Ehlinger has three or more touchdown passes in five of his last nine games. Devin Duvernay and Brennan Eagles have combined for 472 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Jake Smith has 11 receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 148.3 yards per contest, and Keaontay Ingram leads the way with 181 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 24 points and 417.3 yards per game. Caden Sterns leads the Texas Longhorns with 17 tackles, Joseph Ossai has one sack and DeMarvion Overshown has one interception.
The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Texas and the favorite is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. The under is 25-12 in Longhorns last 37 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 games overall.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys have covered six of their last seven games as an underdog of at least three points. The Texas Longhorns have failed to cover seven of their last 10 games as a favorite of at least three points. The Oklahoma State Cowboys already have two road victories this season and have been flawless offensively through two games. OK State has also won each of the last four meetings against Texas and seven of the last nine. While there's a lot here pointing toward the Cowboys and the points, I have more confidence in the Texas Longhorns, one of the more balanced rosters they've had in a few years. I'll lay the touchdown with the home team.