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Toledo vs. Arkansas State GoDaddy Bowl - 1/4/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Toledo Rockets (8-4) at Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5)
Date & Time Sunday January 4, 2015, 9:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Arkansas State Red Wolves +4 -- Over/Under: 67.5
TV Channel
ESPN
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CFB | Toledo Rockets (8-4) at Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5)
USA TODAY Sports

The Toledo Rockets and Arkansas State Red Wolves battle in the GoDaddy Bowl on Sunday.

The Toledo Rockets were one of the more dangerous squads in the MAC with plenty of scoring potential and a bend but don't break defense. The defense struggled to get stops with 403 yards and 29 points scored with the #122 pass D that gave up 282 yards. The Rockets didn't lack for offensive firepower with 486 yards and 34 points scored with a top 20 rushing attack leading the way with 247 yards. QB Logan Woodside has thrown for nearly 2,100 yards with 19 TD's and seven picks with Corey Jones and Alonzo Russell recording 812 and 721 receving yards. Kareem Hunt was the workhorse on the ground with 1,360 yards and almost an eight yard average while Terry Swanson totaled 732 yards.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves looked like the Sun Belt was within their grasp until defeats in two of their last three eliminated that goal. The Red Wolves gave up 411 yards and 28 points and struggled gainst the run with 192 yards allowed. The offense had zero trouble moving the ball at 478 yards and 36 points behind a top 25 rushing attack that averaged 230 yards. Fredi Knighten was a strong passer with 2,874 yards with 19 scores and seven inteceptions. The trio of Dijon Pashcal, Tres Houston and JD McKissic combined for almost 1,800 receiving yards to give Knighten three dependable targets. Knighten was the second leading rusher with 786 yards with Michael Gordon leading the ground game with 1,064 yards for a hefty seven yard average.

The Rockets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game while going 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. For Arkansas State the under is 3-0-1 in Red Wolves last 4 bowl games and is 3-0-1 in Red Wolves last 4 Bowl games while the over is 4-0 in Red Wolves last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Unless we see a lot of turnovers or mistakes I can see plenty of offense in this one so I'm looking at the over...

 

Pick:
over 67.5

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