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Toledo vs. Northern Illinois - 11/13/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Northern Illinois at Toledo
Date & Time Wednesday November 13, 2019, 8:01 PM (EST)
Location
Glass Bowl
Toledo, OH
The Line
Toledo Rockets -2.5 . Total 55.0
TV Channel
ESPN2
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Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Northern Illinois Huskies hit the road for a conference game with the Toledo Rockets.  The Huskies are (3-6) on the season and are coming off a loss to Central Michigan.  The Huskies were blown out, to a tune of 48-10.  The Rockets are (6-3) and have won 2 in a row.  Toledo is coming off a 35-33 win over Kent State.

In the loss to Central Michigan, the Huskies were dominated from start to finish.  The Huskies fell behind early and never really made it a game.  The Huskies points cam via a 33 yd Josh Richardson field goal and a Spencer Tears touchdown reception from Ross Bowers.  The Huskies defense was not present in this game, giving up a ridiculous 615 total yds to Central Michigan.  The Huskies had 251 yds of offense in the game.  Northern Illinois turned the ball over 4 times in the loss.

Toledo was guided offensively by running back Shakif Seymour in the win over Kent State.  Seymour ran for a career high 175 yds and 2 touchdowns in the game.  Rockets quarterback Eli Peters was 15 of 25 for 194 yds, while adding a touchdown and an interception.  The Rockets finished with 289 yds rushing on 52 carries. The Rockets averaged a nice 5.6 yds per carry.  The Rockets out gained Ken State 483 to 428.

Recent Betting Trends:

Huskies are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 road games.

Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

The over s 7-2 in Huskies last 9 road games.

Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Rockets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.

The over is 5-2 in Rockets last 7 conference games.  

The under has been very profitable, having cashed in the last 7 meetings. Toledo Toledo ranks 12th in the country in rushing yds per game, averaging a yd shy of 25o per game.  The Huskies defense ranks 84th in defending the run.  Northern Illinois has been then better team in the last 10 meetings, winning 7 of 10.  However, the Rockets have a better team this year and the Rockets are at home.  The Rockets are at least 3 points better then the Huskies.  Final score prediction, Toledo will win and cover, 31-24. 

Pick:
TOL -2.5
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