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Troy Trojans vs. Ohio Bobcats: Dollar General Bowl - 12/23/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Ohio Bobcats (8-5) at Troy Trojans (9-3)
Date & Time Friday December 23, 2016, 8:00 PM (EST)
Location Unknown Location Unknown Address
The Line
The Line: Troy Trojans -3.5 -- Over/Under: 49
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The Ohio Bobcats will travel to play the Troy Trojans in the Dollar General Bowl on December 23.

The Troy Trojans are 9-3 (6-2) this season after losing to Georgia Southern by a score of 28-24 in their last game. Troy finished the season by losing 2 of their last 3 games, but still finished tied for 3rd in the conference standings. Troy beat Austin Peay, Southern Miss, New Mexico State, Idaho, Georgia State, South Alabama, Massachusetts, Appalachian State, and Texas State this season. The Troy offense is averaging 41 points per game with 176 rushing yards and 262.6 passing yards per game. Brandon Silvers is completing 64.2% of his passes for 2945 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions for Troy. Jordan Chunn has rushed for 1232 yards and 13 touchdowns, while Josh Anderson has added 274 yards and 3 scores for the Trojans. Emanuel Thompson has caught 72 passes for 737 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Deondre Douglas has added 54 catches for 627 yards and 6 touchdowns for Troy. The Troy defense is giving up 22 points per game with 123.7 rushing yards and 240.7 passing yards per game. William Lloyd has led the Troy defense with 63 tackles, 8 tackles for loss, and 1 sack, while Cedarius Rookard has added 47 tackles, 1 tackle for loss, and 2 sacks. Ryan Kay has gone 18-22 on field goals, with a long of 47 yards.

The Ohio Bobcats are 8-5 this season after losing to Western Michigan by a score of 29-23 in their last game. Ohio lost 2 of their last 3 games, but still made it to the MAC Championship Game. Ohio has beaten Akron, Buffalo, Toledo, Kent State, Bowling Green, Miami (OH), Gardner-Webb, and Kansas this season. The Ohio offense is averaging 26.5 points per game with 174.8 rushing yards and 217.5 passing yards per game. Greg Windham is completing 55.2% of his passes for 1580 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions for Ohio. Dorian Brown has rushed for 802 yards and 4 touchdowns, while Greg Windham has added 447 yards and 3 scores for the Bobcats. Sebastian Smith has caught 53 passes for 872 yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jordan Reid has added 46 catches for 493 yards and 5 touchdowns for Ohio. The Ohio defense is giving up 22.2 points per game with 105.8 rushing yards and 257.4 passing yards per game. Blair Brown has led the Ohio defense with 116 tackles, 13.5 tackles for loss, and 4 sacks, while Javon Hagan has added 50 tackles, 3 tackles for loss, and 3 interceptions. Louie Zervos has gone 26-31 on field goals, with a long of 51 yards.

The under is 5-0 in Ohio’s last 5 games following a loss and the under is 4-0-1 in Ohio’s last 5 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 8-0-1 in Ohio’s last 9 games against the Sun Belt. The under is 3-0-1 in Troy’s last 4 games on turf, while the over is 5-0 in Troy’s last 5 Bowl games.

Both of these teams had very successful seasons, but finished the season with some losses. Ohio isn’t a very good offensive team, but their defense is one of the better units in the MAC. Troy has a high-octane offense and still manages to play tight defense. I like Brandon Silvers to have a good game and do just enough for the Trojans. 

Troy Trojans -3.5

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