UAB vs. South Alabama - 9/21/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UAB vs. South Alabama
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 2:30 PM (Legion Field)
UAB Blazers -10 -- O/U: 50
TV: NFL Network
The South Alabama Jaguars and the UAB Blazers meet in a week 4 college football matchup from Legion Field on Saturday afternoon.
The South Alabama Jaguars will look to get back to .500 after a 42-6 loss to Memphis pushed the Jaguars back to 1-2 on the year. Cephus Johnson has thrown for 393 yards on 53% passing with 3 touchdowns and 4 interceptions while Tra Minter leads South Alabama in rushing with 239 yards and a pair of rushing scores. Kawaan Baker has 8 grabs for 184 yards and 2 touchdowns to lead South Alabama’s receiving group. Defensively, Nick Mobley leads South Alabama with 22 total tackles, including 15 assisted tackles while DJ Daniels has 19 tackles with 14 of them being solo tackles. As a team, South Alabama is averaging 366.7 yards of total offense and 21.3 points per game this season.
The UAB Blazers have had a week to prepare for the opportunity to remain unbeaten after improving to 2-0 with a 31-20 win over Akron last time out. Tyler Johnston III has thrown for 433 yards, 5 touchdowns and an interception on 53.5% passing while Spencer Brown leads the Blazers in rushing with 112 rushing yards. Austin Watkins and Kendall Parham each have a team-high 5 receptions and a pair of touchdowns with Watkins leading the way with 146 receiving yards to Parham’s 117. Defensively, Garrett Marino leads UAB with 14 tackles, including 9 solo tackles and a pair of sacks this season. As a team, UAB is averaging 346 yards of total offense and 27.5 points per game this season.
South Alabama is 9-20 ATS in their last 29 road games and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 road games. UAB is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Sun Belt.
A lot of better teams have been beaten down by Memphis, and the Jaguars had a solid showing against Nebraska to start the season, so the points are definitely tempting here. However, UAB has been a covering machine at home for a couple of years now, and while the Blazers didn’t have a dominant showing in their home opener against Alcorn State, I just think that this is the game where UAB puts their foot on the gas and covers the line here so I’ll lay the points with the Blazers here.