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UCF vs. Memphis - 12/1/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Memphis Tigers (8-4) at UCF Knights (11-0)
Date & Time Saturday December 1, 2018, 3:30 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: UCF Knights -6 -- Over/Under: 72
TV Channel
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CFB | Memphis Tigers (8-4) at UCF Knights (11-0)
Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports

The Memphis Tigers and UCF Knights meet Saturday in the college football American Athletic Conference Championship Game at the Spectrum Stadium.

The Memphis Tigers have won their last four games and hope to win their second conference title since the 2014 season. The Memphis Tigers have split their last eight non-home games. Brady White is completing 63.7 percent of his passes for 2,947 yards, 25 touchdowns and seven interceptions. White has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 10 games. Damonte Coxie and Tony Pollard have combined for 1,514 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Pop Williams has 30 receptions. The Memphis Tigers ground game is averaging 275.9 yards per contest, and Darrell Henderson leads the way with 1,699 yards and 19 touchdowns. Defensively, Memphis is allowing 29.5 points and 397.3 yards per game. Curtis Akins leads the Memphis Tigers with 77 tackles, Bryce Huff has 9.5 sacks and Tito Windham has two interceptions.

The UCF Knights look for back-to-back undefeated regular seasons and to win their sixth conference title since the 2007 season. The UCF Knights haven't lost a home game since December of 2016. Darriel Mack Jr. is completing 48.8 percent of his passes for 174 yards, zero touchdowns and zero interceptions. Mack enters this game with 43 career pass attempts under his belt. Gabriel Davis and Dredrick Snelson have combined for 1,199 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Tre Nixon has 37 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 269.8 yards per contest, and Greg McCrae leads the way with 895 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 19.5 points and 409.1 yards per game. Richie Grant leads the UCF Knights with 98 tackles, Titus Davis has six sacks and Nevelle Clarke has two interceptions.

The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December, 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 conference games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Central Florida. The under is 7-1 in Knights last 8 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games overall.

The Memphis Tigers have been a completely different team over the last month and are outscoring teams by 18.75 points during their four-game winning streak. The UCF Knights have won 10 of their 11 games this season by double digits, but of course things will be a bit different with McKenzie Milton out at quarterback. The Memphis Tigers have failed to cover five of their last seven games when an underdog of at least five points. The UCF Knights have covered seven of their last nine games when a favorite of at least five points. Memphis had a legit chance to beat UCF when these teams met back in October, and the Tigers lost by just one point. In fact, the last two meetings between Memphis and UCF, the Tigers have lost by a combined eight points. Darriel Mack played well last week, but it's different to start and build a lead rather than takeover already with a lead and just manage the game. Memphis is going to put up points and I question if UCF can match it without its star quarterback. As kind as UCF has been to us over the years, there's a decent chance the streak comes to an end. Give me my free touchdown.

Memphis Tigers +6

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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