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UCF vs. Stanford - 9/14/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Stanford Cardinal at UCF Knights
Date & Time Saturday September 14, 2019, 3:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Spectrum Stadium
Orlando, FL
The Line
The Line: UCF Knights -2.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN
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Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Stanford Cardinal and UCF Knights meet Saturday in college football action at Spectrum Stadium.

The Stanford Cardinal look to get a game above a .500 record with their first road victory. The Stanford Cardinal have split their last six road games. Davis Mills is completing 58 percent of his passes for 318 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Mills and K.J. Costello have combined for 470 passing yards and two touchdowns. Connor Wedington and Colby Parkinson have combined for 263 receiving yards and one touchdown while Cameron Scarlett has five receptions. The Stanford Cardinal ground game is averaging 115 yards per contest, and Scarlett leads the way with 179 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Stanford is allowing 26 points and 351 yards per game. Paulson Adebo leads the Stanford Cardinal with 13 tackles, Casey Toohill has two sacks and Andrew Pryts has one interception.

The UCF Knights look for a 3-0 start to the season with what would be their most impressive win yet. The UCF Knights haven’t lost a home game since December of 2016. Dillon Gabriel is completing 50 percent of his passes for 372 yards, five touchdowns and zero interceptions. Gabriel and Brandon Wimbush have combined for seven touchdown passes. Gabriel Davis and Jacob Harris have combined for 230 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Adrian Killins Jr. has one reception. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 325 yards per contest, and Bentavious Thompson leads the way with 155 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, UCF is allowing seven points and 205 yards per game. Nate Evans leads the UCF Knights with 13 tackles, Brendon Hayes has two sacks and Tay Gowan has one interception.

The Cardinal are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss, 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September. The Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 9-3 in Knights last 12 games overall. The over is 7-3 in Cardinal last 10 road games.

The Stanford Cardinal have covered eight of their last 12 games as an underdog. The UCF Knights have covered five straight as a favorite and 10 of their last 12 overall. This is a tough schedule spot for Stanford, who just played on the road last week against USC and now has to go to the east coast. The UCF Knights haven't lost at home in ages and have been just as good ATS as they have been SU, and you could argue this team is better than last years with all of the speed at the skill positions. UCF at home and the small chalk has to be one of the better bets on Saturday's card .. 

Pick:
UCF Knights -2.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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