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UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona Wildcats - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Arizona Wildcats (2-2) at UCLA Bruins (2-2)
Date & Time Saturday October 1, 2016, 10:30 PM (EDT)
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The Line
The Line: UCLA Bruins -12 -- Over/Under:
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The Arizona Wildcats will travel to play the UCLA Bruins in a PAC-12 game in week 5.

The UCLA Bruins are 2-2 (0-1) this season after losing to Stanford by a score of 22-13 in their last game. UCLA led for most of this game but gave up the lead late in the fourth quarter and ended up giving up a defensive score with no time left on the clock. The UCLA offense is averaging 24 points per game with 117.8 rushing yards and 294.5 passing yards per game. Josh Rosen is completing 61.6% of his passes for 1,165 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions for UCLA. Soso Jamabo has rushed for 198 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Bolu Olorunfunmi has rushed for 134 yards and 2 touchdowns for the Bruins. Darren Andrews has caught 12 balls for 193 yards and 1 score, while Kenneth Walker III has caught 11 passes for 185 yards and 1 touchdown for UCLA. The UCLA defense is giving up 22 points per game with 152 rushing yards and 196.2 passing yards per game. Jayon Brown has led the UCLA defense with 33 tackles and 1 sack, while Kenny Young has added 27 tackles, 2 sacks, and 1 interception. JJ Molson has gone 6-8 on field goals for UCLA, with a long of 38 yards.

The Arizona Wildcats are 2-2 (0-1) this season after losing to by a score of 35-28 in overtime last weekend. Arizona fought hard to stay in this game but was just overmatched in the overtime period. The Arizona offense is averaging 30.5 points per game with 248 rushing yards and 209.5 passing yards per game. Brandon Dawkins is completing 61.7% of his passes for 625 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception for Arizona. Anu Solomon is the regular starting quarterback but has been injured the past few games. Brandon Dawkins is also the Wildcats leading rusher for 391 yards and 7 touchdowns, while J.J. Taylor has added 261 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Shun Brown has caught 13 passes for 213 yards and 1 touchdown, while Trey Griffey has hauled in 10 passes for 159 yards and 1 touchdown for Arizona. The Arizona defense is giving up 25.5 points per game with 198.2 rushing yards and 256.2 passing yards per game. Paul Magloire Jr. has led the Arizona defense with 24 tackles and .5 sacks, while Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles has added 23 tackles and 2 interceptions. Josh Pollack has gone 4-5 on field goals for Arizona, with a long of 46 yards.

Arizona is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The over is 13-5 in Arizona’s last 18 games. UCLA is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 4-0-1 in UCLA’s last 5 conference games. The home team is 9-4 ATS in these two teams last 13 matchups.

Arizona has looked shaky to start this season, but did play well in their last game. Arizona has been able to use the run game very effectively, so it will be critical for the UCLA run defense to step up. UCLA lost a heartbreaker in their last game, so I wouldn’t be surprised if they started slow in this game. UCLA has more talent than the Wildcats, and I like them in this game. 

UCLA Bruins -12

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