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UCLA vs. Oregon 10/11/14 Free College Football Pick and Odds

Oregon Ducks (4-1) at UCLA Bruins (4-1)
Date & Time Saturday October 11, 2014, 3:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: UCLA Bruins +3 -- Over/Under:
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CFB | Oregon Ducks (4-1) at UCLA Bruins (4-1)

The UCLA Bruins and the Oregon Ducks face off on Saturday in a battle of Pac-12 teams looking to rebound from losses.

The UCLA Bruins entered last week’s game against Utah unbeaten and climbing the rankings but they came up short as 15 point favorites losing to the Utes. With it being a four team playoff the Bruins aren’t all the way out of it but they can’t afford another loss. The UCLA offense is averaging 36 points and QB Bret Hundley has completed 72.8 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and two interceptions and he has rushed for two touchdowns. Paul Perkins leads the UCLA ground attack averaging 5.7 yards per carry with three touchdowns and he has 10 catches out of the backfield but the leading receiver is Jordan Payton with 31 catches followed by Devin Fuller with 21 catches. The UCLA defense seems to be the bigger part of the problem allowing 25.8 points per game with four interceptions, three fumble recoveries, and seven sacks. Eric Kendricks has 58 tackles, Myles jack has 38 tackles, and Deon Hollins has three sacks. UCLA has played in mostly close games this season outside of the Arizona State game that they won comfortably.

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The Oregon Ducks are coming off of their first loss of the season as they were upset at home last Thursday by Arizona.  Last season Oregon went into the tank after taking a loss but with the playoffs this season and the Ducks still having a chance to make it we will see if they can stay motivated. The Oregon offense is averaging 43.6 points per game as QB Marcus Mariota has completed 71.1 percent of his passes with 15 touchdowns without an interception and he has rushed for three touchdowns. Royce Freeman is averaging 5,2 yards per carry with five touchdowns and Byron Marshall has 24 receptions and two touchdowns and Devon Allen has 19 receptions and six touchdowns. The Oregon defense is allowing 23.2 points per game with five interceptions, five fumble recoveries, and 16 sacks. Reggie Daniels has 35 tackles, Erick Dargan has three interceptions, and Arik Armstead has four tackles for a loss. Oregon’s loss last week adds to the streak of games they have lost when they haven’t scored at least 30 points.

UCLA is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games and 14-5 against the spread at home against a team with a winning home record. Oregon is 13-4 against the spread in their last 17 road games, 2-5 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games. Oregon has covered the point spread in four of their last five games against UCLA.

If Oregon is still motivated they are the better team and should win and cover but if they do what they did last season and go in the tank they could get rolled so my play is Oregon but it is a lean at best. 

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Oregon Ducks -3

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