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UNLV Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs - 11/21/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
San Diego State Aztecs (7-3) at UNLV Rebels (3-7)
Date & Time Saturday November 21, 2015, 10:30 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: UNLV Rebels +11 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
CBSC
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CFB | San Diego State Aztecs (7-3) at UNLV Rebels (3-7)
USA TODAY Sports

Sam Boyd Stadium an the UNLV Rebels look to derail the visiting San Diego State Aztecs.

The San Diego State Aztecs have been in a big time groove with everything clicking. The Aztecs have won six in a row to improve to 7-3 after dominating Wyoming 38-3 in week eleven as a 24 point favorite. SDSU totaled 431 yards behind a pounding rushing attack while an airtight defense allowed a mere 191 yards and forced three turnovers. Quarterback Maxwell Smith led an efficient Aztecs passing attack with 138 yards and three touchdowns on 12-19 with Micah Holder catching two short scoring tosses. San Diego State was deadly on the ground with Chase Price totaling 15-2 yards and two TD’s while Donnel Pumphrey ran for another 140 yards.

Although the UNLV Rebels are just 3-7 they are definitely improved over recent seasons. The Rebels are coming off of a 49-35 loss at Colorado State as they tried to match scores with the Rams. Both teams combined for over 1,000 with the Rebels using two quarterbacks with Kurt Palendech throwing for 154 yards and a score with Blake Decker passed for 176 yards and a pair of touchdowns. UNLV saw Devonte Boyd haul in eight balls for 131 yards while Kendal Keys added 87 yards and three scores on six receptions. Lexington Thomas gave the Rebels rushing attack some punch with 118 yards and a trip to the end zone on eleven carries but the defense couldn’t hold off Colorado State. 

The Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and  are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game while going  5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The over is 5-0 in Rebels last 5 games on fieldturf and  is 4-0 in Rebels last 4 home games while going  5-0 in Rebels last 5 games overall. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings while the under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in UNLV. In past years I wouldn’t think twice about laying chalk with UNLV but I do now…

Pick:
San Diego State -11

I have been a sports fan since I was old enough to pick up a ball and have always been drawn to competition. I don't participate in sporting events any longer but I do like to provide my opinion on games and writing gives me that outlet. I won't always be right but I always put 100% in to every article I do whether it's the World Series or an 0-10 college football team. Mitch shares that same passion and allows me to express myself in my own way.

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