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UNLV vs. Fresno State - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Fresno State Bulldogs (1-3) at UNLV Rebels (1-3)
Date & Time Saturday October 1, 2016, 10:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: UNLV Rebels -10.5 -- Over/Under: 63
TV Channel
CBS Sports Network
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CFB | Fresno State Bulldogs (1-3) at UNLV Rebels (1-3)
USA TODAY Sports

The Fresno State Bulldogs will travel to Sam Boyd Stadium to take on the UNLV Rebels this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Fresno State Bulldogs fell to 1-3 (0-0 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 48-41 in OT, this past Saturday. Fresno State jumped out to an early 31-0 lead in this one, however, allowed Tulsa to come all the way back to win in OT. Fresno State was outgained by Tulsa by a 607-453 margin and really struggled against the Golden Hurricane rushing attack as the allowed Tulsa to gain 334 rushing yards. Leading the way for Fresno State was WR Jamire Jordon who had 6 receptions for 108 yards and a TD. On the season, Fresno State is averaging 24.8 ppg on 363.8 total yards per game (249.0 passing, 114.8 rushing). Offensively, the Bulldogs have been led by QB Chason Virgil who has completed 50.7% of his passes for 6 TD and 3 INT while averaging 218.3 passing yds/game. Virgil’s main targets at the receiver position have been Jamire Jordan (4.8 rec/game, 86.3 yds/game, 2 TD), KeeSean Johnson (6.5 rec/game, 68.5 yds/game, 3 TD), and Aaron Peck (5.3 rec/game, 67.0 yds/game, TD). The Bulldogs backfield has been led by RB Dontel James who has 2 TD’s and is averaging 61.5 rushing yds/game. Defensively, Fresno State is allowing their opponents to average 36.5 ppg on 454.3 total yards per game (194.3 passing, 260.0 rushing).

The UNLV Rebels fell to 1-3 on the season after being defeated by the Idaho Vandals, 33-30 in OT, this past Saturday. UNLV and Idaho played a tight game throughout however, after UNLV was only able to get a FG to open up OT and their defense couldn’t stop the Vandals from getting into the end zone. UNLV outgained Idaho by a 539-378 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for UNLV was RB Lexington Thomas who had 2 TD’s and 160 rushing yards. On the season, UNLV is averaging 33.8 ppg on 420.8 total yards per game (170.5 passing, 250.3 rushing). Offensively, the Rebels have been led by RB Lexington Thomas who had 6 rushing TD’s on the season while average 113.3 yds/game. QB Johnny Stanton is completing 46.7% of his passes for 6 TD and 6 INT while averaging 169.0 passing yds/game. Stanton is also the Rebels 2nd leading rushing as he is averaging 57.75 rushing yds/game on 10.0 att/game. Devonte Boyd is biggest threat at the WR’s position and currently has 3 TD’s on the season while averaging 3.8 rec/game and 70.8 yds/game. Defensively, UNLV is allowing their opponents to average 33.0 ppg on 407.0 total yards per game (256.3 passing, 150.8 rushing).

The Bulldogs are 4-10 ATS in their last 9 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Rebels are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.  

Both Fresno State and UNLV are in rebuilding mode and although each team have been able to put up points, both of their defenses continue to struggle. Fresno State will have to have a short memory after blowing a 31-0 2nd quarter lead in their recent game however, have to be encouraged with the play they’ve gotten from freshman QB Chason Virgil. UNLV let one slip away against Idaho but this is clearly a team that is playing with great energy and confidence under head coach Tony Sanchez and have some great playmakers in Lexington Thomas and Devonte Boyd. This is a large spread for UNLV to cover however, as I think their offensive will be able to put up plenty of points on the Bulldogs defense, I’m taking UNLV to cover in this one. 

Pick:
UNLV Rebels -10.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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