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USF vs. UCF - 11/23/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
UCF Knights (10-0) at USF Bulls (7-4)
Date & Time Friday November 23, 2018, 4:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: USF Bulls +14 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN
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CFB | UCF Knights (10-0) at USF Bulls (7-4)
Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

The UCF Knights and South Florida Bulls meet Friday in college football action at Raymond James Stadium.

The UCF Knights look for their 11th victory of the season while remaining in the college football playoff conversation. The UCF Knights haven’t lost a home game since November of 2016. McKenzie Milton is completing 59.5 percent of his passes for 2,577 yards, 24 touchdowns and five interceptions. Milton has two or more touchdown passes in 13 of his last 16 games. Gabriel Davis and Tre Nixon have combined for 1,116 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Dredrick Snelson has 35 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 257.7 yards per contest, and Greg McCrae leads the way with 714 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 20.4 points and 419.1 yards per game. Richie Grant leads the UCF Knights with 93 tackles, Titus Davis has six sacks and Nevelle Clarke has two interceptions.

The South Florida Bulls look to end the regular season on a high note while snapping a four-game losing streak. The South Florida Bulls have won four of their last five home games. Blake Barnett is completing 62.1 percent of his passes for 2,498 yards, 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Barnett has one or less touchdown passes in each of his last eight games. Tyre McCants and Randall St. Felix have combined for 1,118 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Mitchell Wilcox has 35 receptions. The South Florida Bulls ground game is averaging 202.6 yards per contest, and Jordan Cronkrite leads the way with 1,065 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, South Florida is allowing 30.9 points and 431.4 yards per game. Khalid McGee leads the South Florida Bulls with 91 tackles, Josh Black has five sacks and Mike Hampton has two interceptions.

The Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Friday games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Bulls are 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 7-3 in Bulls last 10 home games and the under is 6-1 in Knights last 7 games overall.

The UCF Knights continue to be the most consistent team in college football and all but one of their 10 victories have been decided by double digits. The South Florida Bulls aren't getting much from their quarterback play and are being outscored by 17.25 points during this four-game losing streak. The UCF Knights have covered six of their last eight games as a double-digit favorite. The South Florida Bulls have covered 10 of their last 13 games as a double-digit underdog. I get this is a rivarly and is pretty much the Super Bowl for USF, but the South Florida Bulls are not consistent enough offensively to compete with UCF. The UCF Knights have been rolling both SU and ATS all season long and there's no point to jump off that money train now.

Pick:
UCF Knights -14

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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