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UTEP Miners vs. North Texas Mean Green - 11/26/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

North Texas Mean Green (5-6) at UTEP Miners (3-8)
Date & Time Saturday November 26, 2016, 4:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: UTEP Miners -1 -- Over/Under:
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CFB | North Texas Mean Green (5-6) at UTEP Miners (3-8)

The North Texas Mean Green will travel to play the UTEP Miners in a Conference USA college football game on Saturday.

The UTEP Miners are 3-8 (1-6) this season after losing to Rice by a score of 44-24 in their last game. UTEP has lost 3 of their last 4 games and is currently last in the C-USA West standings. The UTEP offense is averaging 24 points per game with 167.5 rushing yards and 184.8 passing yards per game. Ryan Metz is completing 64.1% of his passes for 1204 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions for UTEP. Aaron Jones has rushed for 1472 yards and 13 touchdowns for the Miners. Hayden Plinke has caught 35 passes for 372 yards and 7 touchdowns, while Cole Freytag has added 33 catches for 475 yards and 4 touchdowns for UTEP. The UTEP defense is giving up 35.9 points per game with 219.7 rushing yards and 210.1 passing yards per game. Dante Lovilette has led UTEP defense with 82 tackles, 6.5 tackles for loss, and 0.5 sacks, while Alvin Jones has added 81 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss, and 1.5 sacks. Jay Mattox has gone 4-6 on field goals this season, with a long of 37 yards.

The North Texas Mean Green are 5-6 (3-4) this season after beating Southern Miss by a score of 29-23 in their last game. North Texas has lost 3 of their last 4 games and is currently tied for 3rd in the C-USA West standings. The North Texas offense is averaging 24.3 points per game with 139.4 rushing yards and 199.7 passing yards per game. Alec Morris is completing 53.3% of his passes for 625 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions for North Texas. Willy Ivery has rushed for 392 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jeffery Wilson (Questionable) has added 833 yards and 13 scores for the Mean Green. Terian Goree has caught 36 passes for 328 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Kenny Buyers has added 30 catches for 308 yards and 1 touchdown for North Texas. The North Texas defense is giving up 30.4 points per game with 204.5 rushing yards and 216.3 passing yards per game. Kishawn McClain has led the North Texas defense with 79 tackles, 4 tackles for loss, 1.5 sacks, and 3 interceptions, while Cortney Finney has added 66 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss, and 1 sack. Trevor Moore has gone 7-11 on field goals, with a long of 51 yards.

North Texas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 November games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 conference games for North Texas. UTEP is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. The over is 4-1 in UTEP’s last 5 conference games.

North Texas is fighting to gain bowl eligibility, while UTEP is just trying to get to the end of the season. Both of these teams are similar on offense and defense, but UTEP will have the home field advantage. I am going with North Texas here because they have more to play for than UTEP does. 

North Texas Mean Green -1

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