UTEP vs. Nevada - 9/21/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UTEP vs. Nevada
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 7:01 PM (Sun Bowl)
Nevada Wolf Pack -14 -- O/U: 53.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Nevada Wolf Pack and the UTEP Miners meet in a week 4 college football matchup from the Sun Bowl on Saturday night.
The Nevada Wolf Pack will look to build on a 19-13 win in their last outing to improve to 2-1 on the year. Carson Strong has thrown for 683 yards, 3 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 60.8% passing while Toa Taua leads Nevada in rushing with 154 yards and Jaxson Kincaide has 130 rushing yards this season. Kaleb Fossum leads Nevada with 15 catches for 149 yards while Elijah Cooks is right behind with 14 catches for 140 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Defensively, Tyson Williams leads Nevada with 21 tackles, including 12 solo tackles while Gabriel Sewell and EJ Muhammad each have 16 tackles and Dom Peterson has a pair of sacks. As a team, Nevada is averaging 350 yards of total offense and 19.7 points per game this season.
The UTEP Miners will look to rebound from their first loss of the season, falling back to .500 at 1-1 after a 38-3 beatdown at the hands of Texas Tech last time out. Brandon Jones has thrown for 289 yards, a touchdown and an interception on 43.8% passing while Treyvon Hughes has rushed for a team-high 171 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns. Tre’Shon Wolf leads UTEP with 104 receiving yards as the Miners’ lone 100-yard receiver this season. Defensively, Justin Prince leads UTEP with 17 tackles including 13 solo tackles while Justin Rogers has 15 tackles this season. As a team, UTEP is averaging 319.5 yards of total offense and 19.5 points per game this season.
Nevada is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games while the under is 11-5 in their last 16 games in September. UTEP is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall.
I think this is a tough one to call as both teams have had disappointing times early on this season. However, while I do think that Nevada is the better team, both of their wins came at home and their win against Weber State was far from convincing, winning just by six points, while they have a -71 scoring margin on the road this season. UTEP is nowhere close to the level below Oregon, but laying nearly two touchdowns with a Nevada team that hasn’t been very good ATS on the road dating back some time now isn’t something I feel like doing. It’s UTEP with the points or pass for me in this one.