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UTSA vs. Texas State - 9/22/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Texas State Bobcats (1-2) at UTSA Roadrunners (0-3)
Date & Time Saturday September 22, 2018, 7:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: UTSA Roadrunners -10.5 -- Over/Under:
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CFB | Texas State Bobcats (1-2) at UTSA Roadrunners (0-3)
Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

The Texas State Bobcats and the UTSA Roadrunners face off in week 4 college football action from the Alamodome in San Antonio, TX on Saturday night.

The Texas State Bobcats will look to bounce back above .500 after falling to the South Alabama Jaguars in their last outing by a final score of 41-31. Willie Jones III leads the Bobcats with 517 passing yards on 40 of 78 passing this season with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, in addition to leading Texas State with 198 rushing yards. Keenen Brown is the Bobcats’ leader in receiving with 10 grabs for 132 yards this season. Through their first three games, Texas State is averaging 362.7 yards of total offense and 24.7 points per game this season.

The UTSA Roadrunners will still be looking for their first win of the season in this one after falling to 0-3 with a 41-17 loss to Kansas State in their last outing. Cordale Grundy leads UTSA with 452 passing yards on 53.9% passing with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. B.J. Daniels leads UTSA with 161 rushing yards while Greg Campbell Jr. leads the Roadrunners’ receiving corps with 14 catches for 137 yards this season. As a team, UTSA has averaged 258.7 yards of total offense and 14.7 points per game this season.

Texas State is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 road games while the over is 14-5-1 in their last 20 non-conference games. UTSA is 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 non-conference games. 

Okay, I know UTSA has had the much tougher schedule of the two and is finally at home. However something seems off about laying double digits with a winless team at home against an opponent who is scoring 10 more points per game. Jones III has the ability to make life hell for the Roadrunners, and as such I think he does enough to lead Texas State to a cover here at worst so I’ll take the Bobcats with the points on Saturday.

Pick:
Texas State +10.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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