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Vanderbilt vs. Florida - 10/13/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Florida Gators (5-1) at Vanderbilt Commodores (3-3)
Date & Time Saturday October 13, 2018, 12:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Vanderbilt Commodores +8.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN
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CFB | Florida Gators (5-1) at Vanderbilt Commodores (3-3)
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Florida Gators and the Vanderbilt Commodores meet in week 7 SEC conference college football action from Vanderbilt Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

The Florida Gators will look to build on their 5-1 start to the season after a massive 27-19 win over LSU in their last outing. Feleipe Franks has thrown for 1,122 yards, 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions this season, while Jordan Scarlett, Lamical Perine and Dameon Pierce each have 250+ rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on the ground this season. Freddie Swain leads Florida with 214 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns while Van Jefferson has 16 receptions and 3 TD grabs of his own this season. As a team, Florida is averaging 380 yards of total offense and 34 points per game this season while owning top-10 defensive marks in the FBS in passing yards against (148.7) and scoring defense (14.8) this season.

The Vanderbilt Commodores will look for a huge home win to get back to get back above .500 after a 41-13 loss to Georgia in their last outing dropped Vandy to 3-3 this season. Kyle Shurmur has thrown for 1,400 yards, 9 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 60.4% passing this season while Ke’Shawn Vaughn has rushed for 439 yards and 5 TDs and Kalija Lipscomb leads Vanderbilt’s receiving corps with 45 catches for 496 yards and 6 TDs this season. As a team, Vanderbilt is averaging 398.8 yards of total offense in addition to 25.2 points per game this season. 

Florida is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a win while the under is 8-3 in their last 11 games following a game where they covered the spread. Vanderbilt is 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Florida is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Vanderbilt and the road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.

I won’t lie, I counted out Florida against LSU and it came back to bite me in the butt. The Florida Gators appear to be for real this season, and appear to be far removed from last season’s disappointing year. Franks looks comfortable in the pocket, and all of the pieces are working. Vanderbilt just can’t catch a break and now has to take on a Gators team that’s had their number ATS over the last few seasons. All in all, I just trust Florida more, so while it’s tough to lay points on the road, I think this is one of the spots where it has to be done as Florida gets another win.

Pick:
Florida -8.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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