Vanderbilt vs. LSU - 9/21/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Vanderbilt vs. LSU
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 11:00 AM (Vanderbilt Stadium)
LSU Tigers -23.5 -- O/U: 62
TV: SEC Network
The LSU Tigers and the Vanderbilt Commodores meet in a week 4 SEC conference college football matchup from Vanderbilt Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The LSU Tigers will look to build on their 3-0 start to the year after a 65-14 rout of Northwestern State in their last outing. Joe Burrow has thrown for 1,122 yards, 11 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 83.3% passing while Clyde Edwards-Helaire leads LSU in rushing with 182 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns this season. Justin Jefferson leads LSU’s receiving corps with 374 receiving yards on 19 touchdowns with 4 touchdown grabs while Terrace Marshall JR. has 16 catches for 229 yards and 6 TDs. Ja’Marr Chase has added 168 receiving yards as the 3rd 100-yard club for the Tigers’ receiving corps this season. Defensively, Jacob Phillips leads LSU with 25 tackles including 12 solo tackles this season. As a team, LSU is averaging 552 yards of total offense and 55 points per game this season.
The Vanderbilt Commodores have had an extra week to prepare for LSU’s visit after falling to 0-2 with a 42-24 loss to Purdue last time out. Riley Neal has thrown for 463 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 63.3% passing while Ke’Shawn Vaughn leads Vandy in rushing with 130 rushing yards this season. Chris Pierce leads Vanderbilt’s receiving group with 149 rushing yards while Kalija Lipscomb has a team-high 11 catches for 106 yards. Defensively, Dashaun Jerkins leads Vanderbilt with 21 total tackles, including 14 solo tackles this season. As a team, Vanderbilt is averaging 358 yards of total offense and 15 points per game this season.
LSU is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 conference games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games while the over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games overall. Vanderbilt is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
I’d like to give Vanderbilt and the boatload of points a look here as a home dog in a conference game, but the fact is that the Commodores are back to looking like the worst team in the SEC and Georgia has already shown that it’s possible for Vanderbilt to get beat up on their own home field, defeating Vandy in week 1 30-6. The Commodores just don’t have the horses to keep up with LSU here, and I just don’t think it’s close either. I’ll lay the points with LSU on the road in what I think ends up being a total beatdown.