Western Kentucky vs. UAB - 9/28/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Western Kentucky vs. UAB
Saturday, September 28, 2019 at 6:01 PM (L.T. Smith Stadium)
The Line: Western Kentucky +2 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The UAB Blazers and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers meet Saturday in college football action at L.T. Smith Stadium.
The UAB Blazers look for another road win to improve to 4-0 on the season. The UAB Blazers have won five of their last seven road games. Tyler Johnston III is completing 64.6 percent of his passes for 746 yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Johnston has three or more touchdown passes in three of his last four games. Austin Watkins Jr. and Kendall Parham have combined for 460 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Myron Mitchell has eight receptions. The UAB Blazers ground game is averaging 153.3 yards per contest, and Spencer Brown leads the way with 192 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, UAB is allowing 14 points and 281 yards per game. Noah Wilder leads the UAB Blazers with 21 tackles, Garrett Marino has 3.5 sacks and Will Boler has one interception.
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers need a victory here to get back to a .500 record. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have lost five of their last six home games. Steven Duncan is completing 58.8 percent of his passes for 790 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. Duncan has at least one touchdown pass in his last seven games. Lucky Jackson and Jahcour Pearson have combined for 284 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Joshua Simon has four receptions. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ground game is averaging 108.3 yards per contest, and Gaej Walker leads the way with 293 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Western Kentucky is allowing 29 points and 352 yards per game. DeAngelo Malone leads the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers with 27 tackles, Juwuan Jones has 3.5 sacks and Jeremy Darvin has two quarterback hurries.
The Blazers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games, 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Hilltoppers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The over is 35-16 in Hilltoppers last 51 home games. The under is 18-8 in Blazers last 26 games overall.
The UAB Blazers have covered eight of their last 11 games as a favorite. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have split their last eight games ATS as an underdog. The UAB Blazers have shown no problem winning on the road dating back to last season and have been profitable ATS away from home as well. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers haven't shown much consistency up to this point and they're going to have a hard time finishing games if they can't run the football. UAB is the more trustworthy team, so I'll lay the small chalk.