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Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green - 10/26/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green
Date & Time Saturday October 26, 2019, 12:01 PM (EDT)
Location
Waldo Stadium
Kalamazoo, MI
The Line
WMICH -26.5 . Total 63
TV Channel
ESPN3
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Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

The Bowling Green Falcons hit the road for a MAC contest with the Western Michigan Broncos. Bowling Green enters this game with a 2-5 record and a 1-2 record in conference play.  The Falcons are coming off a 38-20 home loss to Central Michigan. Western Michigan is 4-4 and 2-2 in conference play thus far.  The Broncos lost Saturday on the road to Eastern Michigan 34-27.

Bowling Green has been led recently at quarterback by Grant Loy.  Loy has thrown for 543 yds and has a TD/INT ratio of 4/5. Loy also has 291 yds rushing and 3 scores. Tight end Quintin Morris has 32 receptions and 406 yds receiving.  Morris has contributed 2 scores on the season.  Linebacker Brandon Perce leads the team in tackles with 67. 

The Broncos are guided by quarterback Joe Wassink, he has thrown for 2,098 yds.  He is responsible for 17 total touchdowns on the season.  Running back LeVante Bellamy has 877 yds rushing and 13 scores through 8 games.  He is averaging 5.8 yds per carry.  Giovanni Ricci has 495 ydd on 35 receptions and has found the end zone 6 times as a tight end. Defensively the Broncos have 9 interceptions. 

Betting Trends:

Bowling Green is 6-10 ATS as an underdog since 2018.

Bowling Green is 0-3 ATS this season as a road team.

The under is 5-2 this season in Bowling Green games.

Since 2018 Western Michigan is 5-3 ATS after a loss.

Western Michigan is 4-0 ATS this season as a home team.

The under is 4-0 when Western Michigan is the home team.

When you look at these two teams, Bowling Green has had a tough time getting anything going.  Western Michigan is splitting games up to this point.  While the Broncos are 4-0 ATS this season at home, I  think this spread is to high and isn't worth touching.  The under has been very profitable in situations this year for these two teams.  While Western Michigan has the ability to put up a lot of points, I just can't see Bowling Green doing enough offensively to push this total over. Final score prediction, Western Michigan wins and the total goes under 38-14. 

 

Pick:
Under 63
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