New Mexico Lobos (1-0) at Wisconsin Badgers (1-0)
|Date & Time||Saturday September 8, 2018, 12:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Wisconsin Badgers -35 -- Over/Under:
The New Mexico Lobos and Wisconsin Badgers meet Saturday in college football action at Camp Randall Stadium.
The New Mexico Lobos look for their first 2-0 start to the season for the first time since 2005 after beating Incarnate Word opening weekend. The New Mexico Lobos have lost four straight road games. Tevaka Tuioti is completing 61.9 percent of his passes for 327 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Tuioti has five touchdown passes on his last 41 pass attempts. Patrick Reed and Elijah Lilly have combined for 130 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Marcus Williams has two receptions. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 319 yards per contest, and Zahneer Shuler leads the way with 90 yards on five carries. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 30 points and 566 yards per game. Rhashaun Epting leads the New Mexico Lobos with five tackles, Jordan Flack has one sack and Jalin Burrell has one interception.
The Wisconsin Badgers look for their third straight 2-0 start after beating Western Kentucky, 34-3. The Wisconsin Badgers have won 11 straight home games. Alex Hornibrook is completing 58.6 percent of his passes for 257 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions. Sindelar has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last nine games. A.J. Taylor and Kendric Pryor have combined for 136 receiving yards and one touchdown while Jake Ferguson has four receptions. The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 234 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 145 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing three points and 305 yards per game. Scott Nelson leads the Wisconsin Badgers with seven tackles, Ryan Connelly has one sack and Faion Hicks has one interception.
The Lobos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Badgers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 games overall and the under is 10-4 in Lobos last 14 games overall.
The New Mexico Lobos may have won in convincing fahsion, but allowing 566 yards of offense doesn't bode well when the comp increases. This is a game where Wisconsin could put up video game numbers. However, the Wisconsin Badgers have failed to cover five of their last six games when favored by at least 30 points. Wisconsin is also just 5-5 ATS in its last 10 games when favored by at least 17 points. The Wisconsin Badgers simply don't cover big numbers often, usually due to a lack of consistent offense or a ground game that chews up the clock. Wisconsin has won three games by 35 or more points since the start of the 2016 season. So, while it wouldn't be shocking if this is a blowout, trends and history suggest the points are the right play. I'll take a shot.