Wisconsin vs. Northwestern - 9/28/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Wisconsin vs. Northwestern
Saturday, September 28, 2019 at 11:01 AM (Camp Randall Stadium)
The Line: Wisconsin -21.5 -- Over/Under:
The Northwestern Wildcats and Wisconsin Badgers meet Saturday in college football action at Camp Randall Stadium.
The Northwestern Wildcats need a statement win here to get back to a .500 record. The Northwestern Wildcats have won five of their last six road games. Hunter Johnson is completing 48.5 percent of his passes for 308 yards, one touchdown and four interceptions. Johnson has three touchdown passes on 95 career pass attempts. Bennett Skowronek and JJ Jefferson have combined for 210 receiving yards and one touchdown while Kyric McGowan has five receptions. The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 169.3 yards per contest, and Drake Anderson leads the way with 237 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 20.7 points and 344 yards per game. Chris Bergin leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 27 tackles, Joe Gaziano has 2.5 sacks and Paddy Fisher has one interception.
The Wisconsin Badgers look for another victory to improve to 4-0 on the season. The Wisconsin Badgers have won five of their last six home games. Jack Coan is completing 77.3 percent of his passes for 692 yards, five touchdowns and zero interceptions. Coan has eight touchdown passes in his last five games. Quintez Cephus and A.J. Taylor have combined for 305 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Jake Ferguson has nine receptions. The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 264 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 440 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing 4.7 points and 171.3 yards per game. Jack Sanborn leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 13 tackles, Zack Baun has three sacks and Eric Burrell has two interceptions.
The Wildcats are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 conference games, 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Badgers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The over is 6-2 in Badgers last 8 games on fieldturf. The under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 conference games.
The Northwestern Wildcats are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a double-digit underdog. The Wisconsin Badgers have failed to cover six of their last nine games as a double-digit favorite. Northwestern really crapped the bed against Michigan State and it's the second time in three games the Wildcats haven't looked good. Wisconsin has a bit of a letdown spot after beating up on Michigan and having many put them in the Big Ten title game this early in the season. Usually I take the points with Northwestern because of the respect I have for coach Pat Fitzgerald, but his team hasn't looked good through three games. The Wisconsin Badgers are also playing at a ridiculous level and have possibly the best defense in the country. I don't love this number, but I'll eat it if forced to pick.