Updated (6:48 PM) - Made additional adjustments! Good Luck!
Updated (6:23 PM) - With the Greek Freak listed as out we made some adjustments. Early reports look like Embiid is not going tonight which opens the door for Simmons to have a huge game against a Hawks defense that struggles with PG's. I have put in Eric Bledsoe & Malcolm Brogdon in for the Bucks as you have to like their chances for big games against a Washington defense that can give up a bunch of points. I've added a value pick in Royce O'Neale to include with Mitchell/Gobert. I've made room for Domantas Sabonis who could have a huge night against the Knicks with Turner out. We kept Saric for some value also. Image is updated below. Good Luck!
DFS – Fantasy Basketball – NBA FanDuel Initial Lineup – 1/11/19
We couldn’t get it done last night as our 266.4 FanDuel point performance fell short of both our 50/50’s & GPP’s. We overextended ourselves with the value with the Pistons game, and although we did make the right move in getting LaMarcus Aldridge in our adjusted lineups, we just didn’t have enough action in the 154-147 Spurs/Thunder game to cash.
Let’s get back on the wining track as we look at tonight’s 9-game NBA FanDuel slate that starts at 7:00pm.
Leading off the team, we’re going to go to Minnesota and get Jeff Teague as he continues to put up solid numbers since returning from his recent injury. In his three games back, Teague is averaging 15.3 ppg, 8.7 apg, 3.3 rpg, & 2.4 apg while averaging an impressive 37.3 FanDuel points per game. Teague posted just 26.9 FanDuel points in his last matchup, but don’t get scared off from that as he was ejected with about 5 minutes left in the 3rd quarter. Minnesota’s new head coach, Ryan Saunders, has said he wants the Timberwolves to push the pace more, and this could lead for a big game for Teague against a Dallas defense that ranks just 22nd against opposing PG’s.
We’ve been on Jeremy Lin over the past few games, and after posting back-to-back 30+ FanDuel point performances, there is no reason to jump off the Lin train now. I liked Lin more when he got the spot start when Huerter was out two games ago, however, I still think Lin has great value as he still saw 28 minutes against Brooklyn on Wednesday and put up an incredible 18 shots. Lin has averaged 14.2 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 5.6 apg, & 1.4 spg over his last 5 games and as he has hit at least 5x value in 4 of those 5 games, I think he is great, affordable option at just $5,100 tonight.
I might have to dust my old basketball shoes off and see if I still make it as an out of shape, 35-year old, as the Utah Jazz are currently in a desperate need of a PG with Rubio, Exum and Neto all listed as out tonight. With the Jazz injury issues, I think Donovan Mitchell is a must-play tonight as he is going to see a bunch of minutes and is going to have an increased usage rate as he’ll most likely be the primary ball-handler. Mitchell has also played better as of late, averaging 24.4 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 4.2 apg, & 1.2 spg over his last 5 games and as the match-up is outstanding as they are playing the Lakers, I think we see Mitchell go off for 60+ FanDuel points tonight.
I’m going back to Minnesota and hoping that we can strike gold once against with Andrew Wiggins as we did on Wednesday when the former #1 pick went off for a monster 63 FanDuel point performance. Wiggins is averaging 17.9 ppg, 4.1 rpg, & 2.4 apg on the season, however, it was encouraging to see him pull down 10 boards against the Thunder on Wednesday. Minnesota downgraded Derrick Rose’s available to “questionable” yesterday and with Robert Covington out, this should continue to allow Wiggins to do everything he can on the offensive end to put up points. As we mentioned under Jeff Teague, Minnesota wants to play at a faster pace and this can only mean good things for Wiggins.
One of more first value picks of the night will be Michael Beasley of the Lakers who is starting to see more of a role with the Lakers as he has 11+ points in each of his last three games, including putting up a solid 19 pts, 2 reb, 4 ast, & 2 blk performance agianst the Pistons on Wednesday. Beasley has trouble seeing the floor due to his defensive liabilities, however, the good thing for us in the DFS world is that he certainly is a player capable of putting up solid offensive numbers in a hurry. I think Beasley is going to see another 20 minutes tonight, and certainly has the ability to put up another 30+ FanDuel point night like he did against Detroit.
As of right now, I’m paying up for Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Bucks as I just like his matchup agianst a Wizards team that can give up a bunch of points. Antetokounmpo comes into this game averaging 26.6 ppg, 12.8 rpg, 6.0 apg, 1.3 spg, & 1.5 bpg and is coming off a monster 27-point, 21 rebound game against the Rockets this past Wednesday. Antetokounmpo is listed as a GTD however, he is listed as probable and I actually don’t mind the injury designated as I’m hoping that this will scare off a few people and keep his ownership lower than normal.
To afford Antetokounmpo, I had to find some serious value at PF and it starts with Dario Saric of the Minnesota Timberwolves. I think Saric is going to be one of the biggest benefactors of the Minnesota coaching change as I certainly see Ryan Saunders utilizing Saric more than how he was under Tom Thibodeau. Saric is averaging a modest 10.7 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 1.7 apg however, looked solid against the Thunder as he saw 25 minutes of action and posted a stat line of 15 pts, 7 reb, 2 ast, & 1 steal. Saric has a bunch of upside and I just don’t see how you can’t take the value with his price tag at just $3,900.
At our other PF spot, I’m going out to Portland and getting Zach Collins on the squad tonight. Collins can at times have trouble finding playing time, however, the 2nd year player out of Gonzaga has certainly shown his ability to put up solid numbers when given the opportunity and with Maurice Harkless currently injury, Collins has seen 22+ minutes in each of his last two games. Collins posted a solid line of 16 pts, 9 reb, 4 ast, 1 blk, & 1 stl before fouling out agianst the Bulls on Wednesday and I don’t mind the match-up against the Hornets who are at best, average against opposing PF’s.
Rounding out the team tonight, we’re going back to Utah and getting Rudy Gobert in the lineup as he might be more of a focal point in the Utah offense tonight in their solid match-up agianst the Lakers. Gobert comes into this game averaging 14.7 ppg, 12.3 rpg, 2.0 apg, & 2.0 bpg and although his numbers have been down as of late, Gobert certainly has huge upside with his ability to rack up rebounds & defensive stats. The Lakers currently rank 26th vs. opposing centers this season and I can see Gobert going off for a big night if he stays out of foul trouble.
Check back later for updates.