Update (9/4/19) – Hi Everyone! I’ve made some updates to the lineup!
With Ezekiel Elliott ending his contract dispute, we needed to make some changes and replace Tony Pollard.
Similar to our FanDuel lineup, we’ve decided to get Leonard Fournette in our lineup. Fournette has a great match-up against the Kansas City Chiefs who ranked 27th in rushing yds/g allowed (132.1 yds/g) and 29th in rushing TD’s allowed (29 TD’s). Kansas City made some major changes to their defense, including adding the talented Frank Clark, however, I still think the Chiefs defense is going to continue to struggle. Fournette has been disappointing overall in his young career, however, has shown the huge upside at times and as he should be on the field for as many snaps as he can handle as the Jaguars top backfield in the running game is rookie Ryquell Armstead, I think Fournette is great value at $6,100.
I’ve also decided to go with a similar TB stack as our FanDuel lineup as we’re now going to be rostering Winston, Godwin, & Evans!
At our 3rd WR spot, we're going to get nice value out of Curtis Samuel of the Carolina Panthers in their match-up against the Los Angeles Rams. Samuel finished last season with 494 receiving yards & 5 TD's on 39 receptions. Samuel was banged up early in the season, but really started to become more involved in the offense towards the end of the season as over the last five weeks he averaged 59.6 yds/g on 4 rec/g (8 targets/game). The Rams we're only league average agianst the pass last season and with most of the attention probably being on Newton, McCaffrey, & D.J. Moore, I think Samuel could be in line for a big game.
We were able to keep our RB duo of Devin Cook & Chris Carson and I love having the trio of Cooks, Carson & Fournette as all should see plenty of action in Week 1.
To be able to afford our TB stack, I had to go with some value at the TE position and I think we could do a lot worse than Delanie Walker in his match-up agianst the Cleveland Browns. Walker missed the majority of last season due to injury, however, this is still the same TE that made the Pro-Bowl in his three previous seasons. Walker is fully healthy going into this season and although the Browns have a solid defense, they did struggle against TE’s last season, ranking 28th in DK points allowed per game (15.3).
We also are going to pay up for the top-priced defense in the Baltimore Ravens as they have an outstanding match-up agianst a Miami Dolphins team that has very little offensive weapons and has a turnover-prone Ryan Fitzpatrick behind center.
Check back later for additional updates!
It’s that time of season again as we’re a week away from the beginning of the NFL season! I don’t know about you, but this is my favorite time of year!
I’m pumped for the NFL DFS season and let’s take an initial look at our NFL DraftKings Lineup for the the 1:00pm contests!
I went with Jameis Winston on FanDuel, however, if you have already read that article, you know that also liked Jimmy Garoppolo who will be going up against Winston & TB this week and as Garoppolo is coming in at $800 less on DraftKings, I think he has more value at just $5,800. Garoppolo was projected to have his breakout season last year, however, he only last three games before suffering a season-ending knee injury in week 3 against the Kansas City Chiefs. Garoppolo showed his potential both during his time in New England and especially over his last 6 games of the 2017 season when he completed 67.4% of his passes for 1,560 yards, 7 TD, & 5 INT and you have to love that he has Kyle Shanahan as his head coach after seeing the success that Shanahan had as an offensive coordinator in Atlanta. Garoppolo has one of the best match-ups in Week one against Tampa Bay as I don’t see much improvement from a Buccaneers secondary that ranked dead last in the NFL last season in passing yard allowed per game (320.3 yds/g).
I’m spending up at the RB position and going with Minnesota’s Devin Cook & Seattle’s Chris Carson.
We paid up for Christian McCaffrey on FanDuel, however, he is a bit too expensive for me on DraftKings as I really like the upside & pricing for both Cook & Carson. Dalvin Cook looks like he’ll be a 3-down back and you have to love his ability to beat you in both the rushing and passing game. Cook has been banged up in his first couple of seasons, however, still averaged 4.6 yds/att. on the ground last season while adding 40 receptions for 305 yards & 2 TD in 11 games. Cook showed his explosiveness during this preseason after outrunning the Cardinals secondary on an 85-yard TD run and I love the match-up against the Falcons who allowed a league high 117 receptions to RB’s last year for 934 yards & 4 TD’s.
Chris Carson has continued to impress in Seattle and I think he’ll continue to raise of the DFS RB rankings this season after finishing 14th overall last season in DraftKings with 221.4 total points. Carson has some competition in the backfield with Rashaad Penny, however, early reports look like Carson will be the lead back and see the majority of action. Carson finished last season with a 1,151 rushing yards (4.7 yds/att.) with 9 TD’s while finishing the last three games of the regular season averaging 119 yds/g & 1.33 TD/game. Carson had 20 receptions out of the backfield, but it looks like Seattle is going to make it a point to try and get him more involved in the passing game this season. Carson and the Seahawks have an easy match-up against Cincinnati, who ranked just 29th in total rushing yards allowed last season, and as I think Seattle will jump out to an early lead, I think Carson gets plenty of action in this one.
For our Wide Receivers, we’re going with Tampa’s Mike Evans, San Francisco’s Dante Pettis, & Jacksonville’s DeDe Westbrook.
The majority of the top-end WR’s have difficult matchups in Week 1, however, Mike Evans has a clear match-up advantage taking on the San Francisco 49ers. Evans had one of his best years in the NFL last season, racking up 1524 receiving yards (3rd most in NFL) & 8 TD’s on 86 receptions and I think those numbers will actually improve this season under Bruce Arians who had no issues airing out the football. I love the match-up against the 49ers as although they’ve made some additions defensively up front, I think their secondary still has a lot of question marks and is coming off a 2018 season in which they ranked 31st in passing TD’s allowed (35 TD’s).
As of right now, I have Dante Pettis in my lineup as I wanted to have some 49ers receivers as we’re going with Jimmy Garoppolo as our QB. There are a lot of question marks with the 49ers WR group as of right now and although Pettis has been outplayed by both Marquise Goodwin & Deebo Samuel this preseason, I still think Pettis projects to have the most fantasy upside this season for the 49ers. Pettis finished last season strong as he was a top-20 WR over the final 5 weeks of the regular season and finished his year with 27 receptions for 467 yards & 5 TD’s. Pettis broke the record for most career punt return TD’s in his senior year at Washington which showed his explosiveness and ability to make big plays as we’ve already highlighted how the Tampa Bay secondary struggled last year, I don’t mind taking a chance with Pettis if he is healthy to go in Week 1.
DeDe Westbrook looks as if he could have a breakout season as the former Oklahoma product looks like the top-target for Nick Foles and the Jacksonville Jaguars this season. Westbrook finished last season with 717 receiving yards & 5 TD’s on 66 receptions and I think those numbers will improve now he doesn’t have Blake Bortles throwing to him. News out of Jacksonville is saying that the Jaguars love Westbrook’s route running and that he has shown good chemistry with Foles and between the fact that Kansas City ranked 30th in total passing yards allowed per game (309.7 yds/g) and that the Jaguars will most likely be playing from behind and will need to air it out to try and keep up with the Chiefs, I think Westbrook will easily hit value at his $4,800 price tag.
I really like the value that Mark Andrews brings at just $3,000 as I have him in my FanDuel lineup, however, as we’re going with Jimmy Garoppolo, I needed to get George Kittle in my lineup. Kittle is coming off a break out campaign in 2018 in which he has 88 receptions (136 targets) for 1,377 yards & 5 TD’s and has the upside to be the top producing TE in DFS this season. Kittle was strong down the stretch for the 49ers as he averaged 6.5 rec/g & 121 receiving yards/g over the last 4 weeks of the regular season and I imagine will be the focal point of the 49ers offense as San Francisco has a relatively young/inexperienced WR core. Kittle has a nice match-up against Tampa Bay who ranked just 24th vs. TE’s last season in terms of DraftKings points allowed on the season (224.1 points).
With it looking more and more likely that both Melvin Gordon & Ezekiel Elliott will be missing Week 1 due to their contract disputes, we’re going to have some solid value plays in both Austin Ekeler & Tony Pollard. As I’m not 100% sure as of right now how the Charges will split time between Ekeler & Justin Jackson, along with the fact that I don’t have much salary left, I’m going to roster Tony Pollard who looks like he will be the lead back for the Cowboys if Elliott is out. Pollard was a 4th round pick out of Memphis who showed a good ability to be dangerous in both the running & passing game as he had 552 yards (7.1 yds/Att) & 6 TD’s on the ground, while hauling in 39 receptions for 458 yards & 3 TD’s. Pollard has shown solid explosiveness in the preseason and has been by far the most productive RB for the Cowboys as he averaged 5.6 yds/att. The Cowboys have a easy match-up against the Giants to open up the season and as I think they’ll get out to a lead in this one, I think it’s going to open up some solid usage for Pollard.
Seattle’s defense is going to be nowhere as strong as we saw during the days of the “Legion of Doom” however, I’m not going to pass up on them at home in a great match-up agianst the Cincinnati Bengals. Cincinnati has a bunch of issues on their offensive line which should allow the Seahawks to put consistent pressure on AJ Dalton and as Cincinnati will be missing their top playmaker in AJ Green, I think the Seahawks have a great day piling up sacks & turnovers.
I’ll be posting my NFL lineups generally on Wednesday nights so please check back on Sunday’s as I might make changes depending on what news comes out and what the weather looks like!
I’m also hoping to get time to do some of the other NFL contests (Thursday Night – Single Game; 1:00pm Only; 4:00 PM Only, Sunday Night, Monday Night…etc)!
Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter (@BrettCU05) as this is the best platform for me to make any needed last-minute adjustments!