DFS - Fantasy Football - FanDuel - NFL Week 1 - Thursday Night (8:20 PM) - 9/5/19
Thursday, September 5, 2019 at 7:20 PM (N/A)
I’m sure everyone is excited that NFL action is right around the corner! We already posted our initial lineups for both FanDuel & DraftKings for the “Main Slate” contests (which we’ll update later this week) and lets now take a look at FanDuel NFL individual Thursday night match-up with the Green Bay Packers traveling to Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears!
As we’re in Chicago, it’s especially important to make sure the weather looks good and, in this case, the weather couldn’t look more perfect to kick off the season as it should be in the high-60’s with clear skies and little win (5-10 mph).
When it comes to this slate, I think the first question you need to ask yourself is if you think it’s worth paying up for Aaron Rodgers in which is going to be one of the toughest games, he faces all season. Chicago lead the league last season in scoring defense, allowing just 17.7 ppg and was solid against both opposing teams rushing & passing attacks as in terms of yards allowed, the Bears were the top-ranked rushing defense & 7th ranked passing defense.
Rodgers hasn’t had much success at Solders Field over his past few seasons (missed 2017 due to injury) as he hasn’t thrown a TD in Chicago since the 2015 season and went just 25 for 42 w/ 274 yards and an INT last season.
Rodgers is going to be highly owned and as the Bears defense doesn’t really have any weaknesses, I’m staying away from Rodgers.
Even though I’m staying away from Rodgers, I’m going with Devante Adams in our MVP slot. Adams is coming off his best season in the NFL as he racked up 1386 yards & 13 TD’s on 111 receptions and as he is the clear-cut top option for Rodgers and the Packers this season, I’m not shying away from him even in a tough match-up against the Bears. Adams was solid in both outings against Chicago last season which included racking up 8 catches for 113 yards at Soldier Field and as I think the Packers will be playing from behind, I think Adams is still going to get his catches/yards in this one.
Our only other Packer we’re going to roster is going to be the kicker in Mason Crosby. Generally, I would stay away from kickers at Soldier Field, but as the weather looks like it’s going to be almost perfect, I like going with Crosby as we’re hoping that the Bears can keep Rodgers out of the endzone (unless it’s to Adams…haha) and that the Packers have to settle for FG’s. Crosby had a down year last season, hitting just 81.1% of his FG’s, however, he still has one of the better legs in the league and the Packers have no problem giving him a shot to hit 50-55 yd FG’s.
For the Bears, I’m going to go with their signal caller in Mitchell Trubisky who made progressed nicely in his 2nd year last season, completing 66.6% of his passes for 3223 yards, 24 TD, & 12 INT. Trubisky gets a good match-up against a Packers secondary who ranked 30th in FanDuel points allowed per game vs. WR’s. Trubisky had a solid performance (20 for 28, 2 TD, 0 INT) against the Packers at home last season and although he doesn’t have the same upside as Rodgers, I think he is the better overall play between the two QB’s.
David Montgomery looks like he is going to be the lead back to start of the season and I’m going to take a chance with the rookie out of Iowa State despite knowing that both Mike Davis & Tarik Cohen will see some touches. Montgomery is a handful to bring down which he showed last season for the Cyclones as he racked up 1216 rushing yards & 13 TD’s on 257 carries. Montgomery should see 15-20 attempts in this one as he also has the ability to do some damage in the passing game out of the backfield, I like Montgomery in this one against a Packers team that was just league average against the rush last season.
Rounding out the team, I’m going with the Bears slot receiver, Anthony Miller. Miller had a solid rookie year, racking up 423 yards & 7 TD’s and I think he is poised for a bigger season this year. Miller has some great speed and seemed to have Trubisky’s trust early in the season as in between weeks 5 & 9, Miller averaged 6.5 targets per game. Miller was banged up towards the end of the last season, but looks like his ready to go this year and as the Packers will have to focus on Allen Robinson II, I think this will open up some solid opportunities for Miller in the slot.
Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter (@BrettCU05) as this is the best platform for me to make any needed last-minute adjustments!