Update (11:02 AM)
Made some adjustments to the team. I decided to go awhile from the CIN stack as it looks like Mixon is going to go today. I've gone more safe and paying up for a 3-man KC stack of Patrick Mahomes, Sammy Watkins, & Travis Kelce.
We're staying with Alvin Kamara at RB and decided to go with Chris Thompson who should see plenty of action in the passing game out of the Washington backfield in a game in which they will most likely be trailing and for the fact that Guice is currently out.
I've decided to go with deeper value at WR in the Cowboys Michael Gallup vs. a Redskins secondary that really struggled in the 2nd half agianst Philadelphia last week & James Washington who I think will bounce back with a good game against a Seattle secondary that isn't that good.
At the FLEX position, we're going with Darren Waller of the Raiders who played in 100% of the snaps last week and should be a main option in a game the Radiers will need to pass to keep up with KC.
Image is updated!
Hope everyone enjoyed Week 1 of the NFL season as much as I did.
We had an average performance last week as we hit on a few 50/50’s on our various contests, however, did have a solid Monday Night as we hit in both our GPP’s & 50/50’s with our 139.92-point performance.
Let’s get an early start on Week 2 as we take all look at our initial build for FanDuel’s NFL “Main Slate” that features 13 games and starts at 1:00pm.
I’m intrigued about the New England Patriots ownership this week against Miami. Miami looks like they’re going to be the worst team in football by a large margin, however, I’m hesitate to pull the trigger on the Patriots offense weapons (outside of Brady) just as there the Brady spreads the ball out to so many of his targets and there are just so many options with Edelman, Gordon, Brown, White, Dorsett. The Pats WR’s price tags are generally high and I just think there are more value stacks out there, although I’m sure a few Pats will have big games on Sunday.
Also, this is just a very initial build out of my team which I plan on first providing on Tuesday’s. Obviously, there are a lot of things that can happened between now and Sunday and I can almost guarantee that I’ll be tinkering with the lineup throughout the week so make sure you come back to check for updates!
We have no shortage of QB’s in solid match-up this week (Mahomes, Brady, Goff, etc.), however, I like value and low ownership projection that Andy Dalton and a Cincinnati stack brings to the table in their home match-up against the San Francisco 49ers. Dalton threw an incredible 51 passes in Week 1, which is more than he threw in any game last season, and finished with a solid stat line completing 35 passes for 418 yards & 2 TD. Cincinnati will at best have a banged-up Joe Mixon in the backfield which should lead to another high-volume passing game and although San Francisco had a solid performance shutting down the Tampa Bay passing attack in Week 1, I expect to see more of the 49ers secondary that allowed 31 passing TD’s last season.
We’re paying up for the Saints Alvin Kamara in his match-up against the Los Angeles Rams. Kamara has a solid 20.4-point performance (97 rushing yds, 7 rec, 72 receiving yards), despite finding the endzone, in a tough match-up against the Houston Texans this past Monday night. Kamara is one of the best backs in the league w/ his big play explosiveness and ability to do damage in both the rushing and passing game. Kamara did put up his 3rd best performance against the Rams last season (31.6 points) and as the current total in this game is set at 53.0 points, I think Kamara easily has 30+ point upside.
Melvin Gordon looks like he is going to be holding out for the considerable future and I think the Chargers are fine with the situation after seeing what they got from Austin Ekeler in Week 1. Ekeler showed his duel-threat ability against the Colts as he finished with 58 yards & 1 TD on the ground, while hauling in 6 receptions for 96 yards & 2 TD’s in a monster 36.4-point performance. He clearly was the lead back over Justin Jackson and I don’t mind the match-up against the Lions who allowed David Johnson to rack up 137 total yards (82 rushing; 55 receiving) in Week 1.
As we mentioned under Andy Dalton, we’re going with a Cincinnati stack and going to fit in both WR threats, Tyler Boyd & John Ross III in their home match-up against the San Francisco 49ers.
Tyler Boyd is coming off his best season in the NFL in 2018, racking up 76 receptions for 1,028 yards & 7 TD’s and is the clear-cut top-option for Andy Dalton while A.J. Green is recovering from an ankle injury. Boyd had a productive outing against Seattle as he had 8 catches (11 targets) for 60 yards and as I expect the 49ers to primary use Ugo Amadi against him, I like his match-up on Sunday.
Jon Ross has disappointed in his first two seasons in the NFL, however, the lighting fast product out of Washington reminded everyone why he was a top-10 pick in the 2017 draft as he had his best day as a pro in Week 1, carving up the Seahawks secondary with 7 receptions (12 targets) for 158 yards & 2 TD’s. Ross III has a chance to put up some big numbers while A.J. Green is sidelined as most defenses will be targeting Mixon & Boyd and I think Ross III could have another big day against the 49ers defense that struggled allowing passing TD’s last season.
Kansas City’s offense looks as dangerous as it did last season and with Tyreek Hill going down with an injury, I think Sammy Watkins is almost a must-play in his match-up against Oakland. Watkins looked fully healthy in week 1 and had a monster game, hauling in 9 receptions for 198 yards & 3 TD’s against Jacksonville. Oakland’s secondary allowed the duo of Flacco/Sutton to connect for 120 yards on 7 receptions on Monday night which scares me to see what Mahomes & Watkins can do against them.
We hit with some value TE’s this past week (Vernon Davis on FanDuel; Delanie Walker on DraftKings), however, we’re going to pay up a bit this week by going with Baltimore’s Mark Andrews. Andrews was on many people radars going into last week and was my initial target last week (prior to getting Davis at min-price) and he didn’t disappoint as he caught all 8 of his targets for 108 yards & TD. Andrews flashed his ability to make big plays in the passing game last season for the Ravens and is obviously trusted by Lamar Jackson with his 8 targets. Andrews has a decent match-up this week, as he is going against an Arizona Cardinals team that allowed the rookie TE of the Lions, T.J. Hockenson, to put up 131 yards & a TD on 6 receptions in week 1.
Speaking of T.J. Hockenson, I’m going with him in my Flex position. I was very high on Hockenson when he was coming out of Iowa and although it’s only been a week, Hockenson is showing why he was the 8th overall pick in last year’s draft. On top of the solid performance against Arizona in Week 1, I’m most encouraged by the fact he led the Lions in targets. The match-up isn’t the greatest as the Chargers did a nice job of containing Eric Ebron, but I’m putting that more on the Indy’s game plan in the passing game and as the Chargers will be without safety Derwin James, I think that opens up some solid opportunity for Hockenson for some big plays down the middle of the field.
If you read my Monday Night lineups, you know I’m not a fan at all of the Denver offense this season. Flacco is past his prime, Sanders is still a banged up and I don’t expect as good of a year as we saw out of Phillip Lindsey last season. Denver will be at home this weekend, but is going to have one of the toughest match-ups as they go against an outstanding Chicago Bears defense who I think will dominate the Joe Flacco led Broncos offense.
Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter (@BrettCU05) as this is the easily social platform for me to make last-minute adjustments to any of my DFS lineups!