Thursday, March 14, 2019 at 12:00 PM (TPC at Sawgrass)
We’re in Florida for the third straight week for the Players Championship, often considered the fifth major and an event that brings out all of the heavyhitters thanks to the highest purse in golf at over 12 million dollars. This field is absolutely loaded and there are plenty of good options in hopes of making some money. We didn’t land a winner last week, but three of our five golfers finished in side the top-25, including Rory McIlroy at +700 odds, who was the favorite to win heading into the final day.
Here are five golfers to consider throwing on your card this week.
Jason Day, +4000 - When 100 precent healthy, Jason Day is probably a top-five candidate to win this event. Unfortunately, Day has been battling back issues, so his odds a lot larger than expected. Day was hitting balls Monday morning and says his back is feeling much better and there’s no pain. That’s good enough for me to take a shot with these odds. Day has consistently pushed the leaderboard these last several weeks and won the Players Championship in 2016. He finished fifth last year. I can’t let these odds go to waste.
Phil Mickelson, +6600 - Phil Mickelson has been a bit shaky recently, which includes missing the cut last week at Arnold Palmer. The good news is the last time Mickelson missed the cut, he won at Pebble Beach and he’s followed up each of the last four times he’s missed the cut with a top-25 finish. Mickelson was very happy with the condition of this course, and while it’s been years since he’s been relevant at this event, his ability to bounce back after a subpar showing can’t go unnoticed. A winner here in 2007, Mickelson is a strong dark horse candidate this week.
Tommy Fleetwood, +2800 - Tommy Fleetwood has just two starts at TPC at Sawgrass, but that’s enough for him to mention that this is one of his favorite courses. In those two showings, Fleetwood has an average finish of 24th place, and that includes a seventh place finish last year. Fleetwood is coming off a strong performance last week at Arnold Palmer (-9) and has finished inside the top-20 in 13 of his last 15 events. Fleetwood is a solid candidate to win this week, making these odds a must play.
Matt Kuchar, +6000 - Matt Kuchar has dropped in production in each of his last three events and is coming off a +2 showing in Mexico. The good news Kuchar is still one of the better players in the field, as he’s eighth in scoring average, sixth in driving accuracy percentage and third in greens in regulation percentage. Kuchar is also no stranger to success at the Players Championship, winning this event in 2012 and finishing no worse than 17th in six of the last 10 years. Kuchar is undervalued with these odds heading into this event.
Patrick Cantlay, +4500 - Patrick Cantlay is a combined 16 strokes under par in his last two events and has finished inside the top-10 in five of his last seven events. Cantlay has top-25 finishes in his two appearances at the Players Championship and has mentioned many times how much he enjoys this golf course. TPC at Sawgrass is not for everybody and has a reputation of being very unforgiving to players who aren’t at the top of their game. Finding quality players who actually enjoy playing here is only going to improve your odds of landing a winner.